**Valve’s explicit September 30 development update remains the dominant factor anchoring the 79.3% “No” odds.** In that post accompanying the City Never Sleeps patch, the studio stated it still sees “a good amount of work” on core systems before any move to polish phases, explicitly citing progression, hero/hideout customization, item redesigns, and alternate modes that require further playtest feedback prior to a full release. As of mid-October 2026 the game stays invite-only with its Steam page listing the release date as “To be announced” and describing it as a “multiplayer game in early development.” Record concurrent peaks above 300,000 have not altered this stance. With only weeks remaining until 2027 and no announced open-beta timeline or public storefront access, traders view a 2026 launch as highly improbable under Valve’s iterative, feedback-driven process.