Mexico and South Korea both opened with two goals scored in their Group A victories—Mexico defeating South Africa 2-0 and South Korea rallying past Czechia 2-1—leaving the highest-scoring team market tightly bunched around implied probabilities near 50 percent. Mexico benefits from co-host status and two remaining home matches that could inflate its total, while South Korea’s attacking transitions and set-piece threat keep its tally competitive. Czechia and South Africa trail after conceding multiple goals early, and the decisive June 18 Mexico–South Korea fixture plus final round matches will determine whether either side pulls away or if a lower-scoring outcome hands the edge to another side. Recent form and fixture congestion sustain the close trader consensus.