Spain enters the 2026 World Cup group stage as the Polymarket favorite to reach the final at roughly 29% implied probability, ahead of France near 26%, reflecting its Euro 2024 title momentum, depth anchored by Lamine Yamal, and favorable early schedule. France follows closely due to its blend of experience and attacking options, while England, Portugal, Brazil, and Argentina sit in the next tier based on squad quality and recent form. Early group results, including the United States’ 4-1 opener win and Morocco’s competitive draw with Brazil, have produced modest shifts, but the market remains driven by overall roster strength and historical knockout performance rather than any single match outcome. With the bracket still fluid and most contenders yet to face elite opposition, traders are pricing in high variance through the round of 16 and quarterfinals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWorld Cup: Nation to Reach Final
World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
$673,285 ปริมาณ
Spain
29%
France
26%
England
24%
Portugal
23%
Argentina
23%
Brazil
18%
Germany
14%
Netherlands
13%
Belgium
7%
USA
6%
Morocco
6%
Mexico
6%
Colombia
6%
Norway
6%
Japan
5%
Uruguay
4%
Croatia
4%
Switzerland
3%
New Zealand
3%
Czechia
2%
Senegal
2%
Austria
2%
Ecuador
2%
South Africa
2%
Canada
2%
Ivory Coast
2%
Sweden
2%
South Korea
2%
Scotland
2%
Ghana
2%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
2%
Qatar
2%
Algeria
2%
Paraguay
1%
Australia
1%
Turkiye
1%
Saudi Arabia
1%
Tunisia
1%
Egypt
1%
Iran
1%
DR Congo
1%
Uzbekistan
1%
Jordan
1%
Curacao
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Haiti
<1%
$673,285 ปริมาณ
Spain
29%
France
26%
England
24%
Portugal
23%
Argentina
23%
Brazil
18%
Germany
14%
Netherlands
13%
Belgium
7%
USA
6%
Morocco
6%
Mexico
6%
Colombia
6%
Norway
6%
Japan
5%
Uruguay
4%
Croatia
4%
Switzerland
3%
New Zealand
3%
Czechia
2%
Senegal
2%
Austria
2%
Ecuador
2%
South Africa
2%
Canada
2%
Ivory Coast
2%
Sweden
2%
South Korea
2%
Scotland
2%
Ghana
2%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
2%
Qatar
2%
Algeria
2%
Paraguay
1%
Australia
1%
Turkiye
1%
Saudi Arabia
1%
Tunisia
1%
Egypt
1%
Iran
1%
DR Congo
1%
Uzbekistan
1%
Jordan
1%
Curacao
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Haiti
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Spain enters the 2026 World Cup group stage as the Polymarket favorite to reach the final at roughly 29% implied probability, ahead of France near 26%, reflecting its Euro 2024 title momentum, depth anchored by Lamine Yamal, and favorable early schedule. France follows closely due to its blend of experience and attacking options, while England, Portugal, Brazil, and Argentina sit in the next tier based on squad quality and recent form. Early group results, including the United States’ 4-1 opener win and Morocco’s competitive draw with Brazil, have produced modest shifts, but the market remains driven by overall roster strength and historical knockout performance rather than any single match outcome. With the bracket still fluid and most contenders yet to face elite opposition, traders are pricing in high variance through the round of 16 and quarterfinals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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