The expanded 2026 World Cup features 48 teams across 12 groups, producing 72 group-stage matches that can still finish as draws followed by a knockout phase of 32 single-elimination fixtures. Only those knockout matches require extra time and, if necessary, penalty shootouts to determine a winner, doubling the prior number of knockout games and thereby raising the baseline opportunity for shootouts. Historically, World Cups have seen three to five shootouts per tournament out of 16 knockout matches, with rates fluctuating by era and matchup parity; the 2022 edition produced five. Recent FIFA rule updates target time-wasting and VAR reviews but leave the core shootout trigger unchanged, while any earlier proposals for group-stage penalties were not adopted. With the tournament opening on June 11, trader expectations hinge on how many of the new Round of 32 ties reach extra time amid the larger field and potentially tighter contests.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWorld Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout
1+ matches
96%
2+ matches
89%
3+ matches
84%
4+ matches
50%
5+ matches
82%
6+ matches
75%
7+ matches
68%
8+ matches
28%
9+ matches
19%
$68 ปริมาณ
1+ matches
96%
2+ matches
89%
3+ matches
84%
4+ matches
50%
5+ matches
82%
6+ matches
75%
7+ matches
68%
8+ matches
28%
9+ matches
19%
A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 11, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The expanded 2026 World Cup features 48 teams across 12 groups, producing 72 group-stage matches that can still finish as draws followed by a knockout phase of 32 single-elimination fixtures. Only those knockout matches require extra time and, if necessary, penalty shootouts to determine a winner, doubling the prior number of knockout games and thereby raising the baseline opportunity for shootouts. Historically, World Cups have seen three to five shootouts per tournament out of 16 knockout matches, with rates fluctuating by era and matchup parity; the 2022 edition produced five. Recent FIFA rule updates target time-wasting and VAR reviews but leave the core shootout trigger unchanged, while any earlier proposals for group-stage penalties were not adopted. With the tournament opening on June 11, trader expectations hinge on how many of the new Round of 32 ties reach extra time amid the larger field and potentially tighter contests.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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