Mounting injury concerns for star attackers Kylian Mbappé (hamstring, France) and Lamine Yamal (torn hamstring, Spain)—both sidelined into May—have tempered trader enthusiasm for the top two, fostering a tightly bunched consensus where France edges Spain at under 18% implied probability amid squad depth advantages and recent Nations League success. Spain's Euro 2024 triumph and control-oriented style keep them close despite fitness risks, while England benefits from a navigable group path but faces brutal potential knockout clashes with Brazil or Argentina. Defending champions Argentina and Brazil lag slightly due to aging cores and losses like Rodrygo's ACL tear, highlighting the expanded 48-team field's parity post-March qualifiers and group draw, with no dominant favorite emerging.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateFrance 17.9%
Spain 16.4%
England 11.5%
Brazil 9.2%
$971,054,513 Vol.
$971,054,513 Vol.
France
18%
Spain
16%
England
11%
Brazil
9%
Argentina
9%
Portugal
8%
Germany
5%
Netherlands
3%
Norway
2%
Japan
2%
Belgium
2%
Colombia
2%
USA
2%
Morocco
2%
Switzerland
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexico
1%
Croatia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turkiye
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Canada
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Ivory Coast
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Australia
<1%
New Zealand
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
South Africa
<1%
Congo DR
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
France 17.9%
Spain 16.4%
England 11.5%
Brazil 9.2%
$971,054,513 Vol.
$971,054,513 Vol.
France
18%
Spain
16%
England
11%
Brazil
9%
Argentina
9%
Portugal
8%
Germany
5%
Netherlands
3%
Norway
2%
Japan
2%
Belgium
2%
Colombia
2%
USA
2%
Morocco
2%
Switzerland
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexico
1%
Croatia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turkiye
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Canada
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Ivory Coast
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Australia
<1%
New Zealand
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
South Africa
<1%
Congo DR
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mounting injury concerns for star attackers Kylian Mbappé (hamstring, France) and Lamine Yamal (torn hamstring, Spain)—both sidelined into May—have tempered trader enthusiasm for the top two, fostering a tightly bunched consensus where France edges Spain at under 18% implied probability amid squad depth advantages and recent Nations League success. Spain's Euro 2024 triumph and control-oriented style keep them close despite fitness risks, while England benefits from a navigable group path but faces brutal potential knockout clashes with Brazil or Argentina. Defending champions Argentina and Brazil lag slightly due to aging cores and losses like Rodrygo's ACL tear, highlighting the expanded 48-team field's parity post-March qualifiers and group draw, with no dominant favorite emerging.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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