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icon for 2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader

2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader

icon for 2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader

2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader

Alex Smalley 49%

Nicolai Højgaard 49%

Gary Woodland 49%

Justin Thomas 49%

Polymarket
BAGO

Alex Smalley 49%

Nicolai Højgaard 49%

Gary Woodland 49%

Justin Thomas 49%

Polymarket
BAGO

Alex Smalley

$0 Vol.

49%

Nicolai Højgaard

$0 Vol.

49%

Gary Woodland

$0 Vol.

49%

Justin Thomas

$0 Vol.

49%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$0 Vol.

49%

Robert MacIntyre

$0 Vol.

49%

Sepp Straka

$0 Vol.

49%

Tyrrell Hatton

$0 Vol.

49%

Bud Cauley

$0 Vol.

49%

Adam Scott

$0 Vol.

49%

Carlos Ortiz

$0 Vol.

49%

Joaquin Niemann

$0 Vol.

49%

Tommy Fleetwood

$0 Vol.

49%

Jon Rahm

$0 Vol.

49%

Aaron Rai

$0 Vol.

49%

Chris Gotterup

$0 Vol.

49%

Justin Rose

$0 Vol.

49%

Collin Morikawa

$0 Vol.

49%

Si Woo Kim

$0 Vol.

49%

Keegan Bradley

$0 Vol.

49%

Xander Schauffele

$0 Vol.

48%

Sam Burns

$0 Vol.

48%

Kurt Kitayama

$0 Vol.

48%

Akshay Bhatia

$0 Vol.

48%

Hideki Matsuyama

$0 Vol.

48%

Viktor Hovland

$0 Vol.

48%

Min Woo Lee

$0 Vol.

48%

Kristoffer Reitan

$0 Vol.

48%

Patrick Cantlay

$0 Vol.

48%

Ryan Gerard

$0 Vol.

48%

Harris English

$0 Vol.

48%

Jacob Bridgeman

$0 Vol.

48%

Cameron Smith

$0 Vol.

48%

Scottie Scheffler

$0 Vol.

45%

Rickie Fowler

$0 Vol.

44%

Cameron Young

$0 Vol.

41%

Daniel Berger

$0 Vol.

41%

Jake Knapp

$0 Vol.

41%

Russell Henley

$0 Vol.

41%

J.T. Poston

$0 Vol.

34%

Dustin Johnson

$0 Vol.

33%

J.J. Spaun

$7 Vol.

30%

Rory McIlroy

$0 Vol.

29%

Ludvig Åberg

$0 Vol.

28%

David Puig

$0 Vol.

28%

Laurie Canter

$0 Vol.

28%

Patrick Reed

$0 Vol.

27%

Maverick McNealy

$0 Vol.

27%

Ben Griffin

$0 Vol.

27%

Alex Noren

$0 Vol.

26%

Jordan Spieth

$0 Vol.

26%

Bryson DeChambeau

$0 Vol.

26%

Jason Day

$0 Vol.

26%

Shane Lowry

$0 Vol.

25%

Wyndham Clark

$0 Vol.

24%

Lucas Herbert

$0 Vol.

22%

Michael Kim

$0 Vol.

22%

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills begins Thursday, with first-round leader probabilities tightly clustered because the historic, par-70 layout rewards precision off the tee and controlled iron play amid firm, fast greens and thick rough. No single player commands outsized odds, as recent form, course history, and random variance in scoring all contribute to a wide distribution of realistic outcomes. Scheffler, McIlroy, and Rahm sit among the stronger contenders based on major pedigree and current ball-striking, yet the market assigns comparable implied chances to numerous others, including accurate drivers like Henley and Fitzpatrick who performed well in the 2018 edition here. Practice-round reports and official injury updates have produced minimal shifts, underscoring how early-round low scores at Shinnecock remain inherently unpredictable.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$7
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 21, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills begins Thursday, with first-round leader probabilities tightly clustered because the historic, par-70 layout rewards precision off the tee and controlled iron play amid firm, fast greens and thick rough. No single player commands outsized odds, as recent form, course history, and random variance in scoring all contribute to a wide distribution of realistic outcomes. Scheffler, McIlroy, and Rahm sit among the stronger contenders based on major pedigree and current ball-striking, yet the market assigns comparable implied chances to numerous others, including accurate drivers like Henley and Fitzpatrick who performed well in the 2018 edition here. Practice-round reports and official injury updates have produced minimal shifts, underscoring how early-round low scores at Shinnecock remain inherently unpredictable.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$7
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 21, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 57+ posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Alex Smalley" sa 49%, sinusundan ng "Nicolai Højgaard" sa 49%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 49¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 49% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jun 16, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader," i-browse ang 57+ available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader" ay "Alex Smalley" sa 49%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 49% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Nicolai Højgaard" sa 49%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.