Ivory Coast’s flawless start to AFCON 2027 qualifying, including 2-0 victories over Ghana and Somalia that delivered six points and a +4 goal difference, underpins their 74.5% implied probability as Group C winner. The defending champions have kept clean sheets while deploying attacking options like Amad Diallo and Franck Kessié, reflecting squad depth and recent coaching stability. Gambia sits level on six points after wins against the same opponents but trails on goal difference and faces the Elephants next in November, tempering their 24.9% odds. Ghana’s 0-2 and 2-4 defeats leave them winless and at 2.9%, while Somalia’s losses keep their chances at 0.5%. The remaining fixtures, including Ghana-Somalia and the direct Ivory Coast-Gambia clash, will shape final standings in a group where the top two advance.