Skip to main content
icon for Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
Teknolohiya·Claude 5

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

icon for Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
Teknolohiya·Claude 5

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$283,400 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$283,400 Vol.

Polymarket

45%+

$135,078 Vol.

18%

50%+

$1,999 Vol.

9%

55%+

$4,411 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Anthropic’s April 2026 release of Claude Opus 4.7, alongside the leading Claude Mythos Preview, has driven recent trader sentiment by posting frontier scores of 36–65% on Humanity’s Last Exam, a 2,500-question benchmark of expert-level math, science, and humanities problems. These results, often achieved with extended reasoning modes, place Claude ahead of GPT-5 variants and Gemini 3.1 Pro on multiple leaderboards. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, combined with Anthropic’s continued focus on scalable oversight, supports expectations of further gains or new public variants before the June 30 resolution. Key upcoming catalysts include potential model updates or developer announcements that could refine prompting techniques and push additional percentage points on the leaderboard.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Volume
$283,400
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Anthropic’s April 2026 release of Claude Opus 4.7, alongside the leading Claude Mythos Preview, has driven recent trader sentiment by posting frontier scores of 36–65% on Humanity’s Last Exam, a 2,500-question benchmark of expert-level math, science, and humanities problems. These results, often achieved with extended reasoning modes, place Claude ahead of GPT-5 variants and Gemini 3.1 Pro on multiple leaderboards. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, combined with Anthropic’s continued focus on scalable oversight, supports expectations of further gains or new public variants before the June 30 resolution. Key upcoming catalysts include potential model updates or developer announcements that could refine prompting techniques and push additional percentage points on the leaderboard.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Volume
$283,400
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "30%+" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "35%+" sa 100%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?" ay naka-generate ng $283.4K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jan 30, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?" ay "30%+" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "35%+" sa 100%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.