Democratic incumbent Katie Hobbs, seeking a second term, maintains a consistent lead in general election polling against Republican nominee Andy Biggs, who secured his party's nomination in the July 21, 2026 primary. Recent surveys, including those from late July and early August, show Hobbs ahead by margins of roughly 4 to 8 points in head-to-head matchups, reflecting her incumbency advantage and performance in the swing state. Traders' strong consensus on a Democratic outcome aligns with these trends and Arizona's mixed partisan environment, where President Trump's 2024 margin has not fully translated into Republican strength in the gubernatorial contest. The November 3 general election remains the key upcoming event that could influence final positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateArizona Governor Election Winner
$66,346 Vol.
$66,346 Vol.

Democrat
87%

Republican
13%
$66,346 Vol.
$66,346 Vol.

Democrat
87%

Republican
13%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Katie Hobbs, seeking a second term, maintains a consistent lead in general election polling against Republican nominee Andy Biggs, who secured his party's nomination in the July 21, 2026 primary. Recent surveys, including those from late July and early August, show Hobbs ahead by margins of roughly 4 to 8 points in head-to-head matchups, reflecting her incumbency advantage and performance in the swing state. Traders' strong consensus on a Democratic outcome aligns with these trends and Arizona's mixed partisan environment, where President Trump's 2024 margin has not fully translated into Republican strength in the gubernatorial contest. The November 3 general election remains the key upcoming event that could influence final positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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