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Palakasan·Soccer

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

icon for Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Palakasan·Soccer

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane 58.5%

Lamine Yamal 16.4%

Rodri 8%

Kylian Mbappé 7.5%

Polymarket

$28,418,222 Vol.

Harry Kane 58.5%

Lamine Yamal 16.4%

Rodri 8%

Kylian Mbappé 7.5%

Polymarket

$28,418,222 Vol.

Harry Kane

$3,311,376 Vol.

58%

Lamine Yamal

$1,788,710 Vol.

16%

Rodri

$1,054,939 Vol.

8%

Kylian Mbappé

$1,545,880 Vol.

8%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$1,083,398 Vol.

4%

Lionel Messi

$1,897,041 Vol.

2%

Fabian Ruiz

$847,106 Vol.

2%

Ousmane Dembélé

$1,786,546 Vol.

2%

Erling Haaland

$1,137,464 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$1,017,818 Vol.

<1%

Michael Olise

$1,077,679 Vol.

<1%

Declan Rice

$801,897 Vol.

<1%

Vitinha

$686,357 Vol.

<1%

Pau Cubarsi

$794,581 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$1,057,654 Vol.

<1%

Vinícius Júnior

$1,066,431 Vol.

<1%

Pedri

$879,645 Vol.

<1%

Cole Palmer

$678,611 Vol.

<1%

Julian Alvarez

$731,885 Vol.

<1%

Raphinha

$694,097 Vol.

<1%

Bruno Fernandes

$708,212 Vol.

<1%

Lautaro Martinez

$486,133 Vol.

<1%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$457,373 Vol.

<1%

Enzo Fernandez

$66,071 Vol.

<1%

Federico Valverde

$446,646 Vol.

<1%

Desire Doue

$732,298 Vol.

<1%

Achraf Hakimi

$739,023 Vol.

<1%

Luis Diaz

$439,280 Vol.

<1%

Dominik Szoboszlai

$168,278 Vol.

<1%

Rodrygo

$88,121 Vol.

<1%

Bukayo Saka

$147,747 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 58.5% implied probability due to his record goal contributions and individual honors across the 2025-26 European season. The Bayern Munich striker posted the highest tallies in goals and assists while securing Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, and related domestic awards. Trader positioning reflects Kane's consistent output despite England's World Cup exit. Lamine Yamal sits at 16.4% on the strength of his Barcelona campaign (La Liga title, Supercopa) and standout role in Spain's tournament triumph, though his lower raw scoring volume keeps him behind. Rodri and Kylian Mbappé trail further at 7.5% each, buoyed by prior form and club success but lacking Kane's volume or Yamal's recent trophy momentum. The market incorporates the full August-to-July window, including the 2026 World Cup.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$28,418,222
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 58.5% implied probability due to his record goal contributions and individual honors across the 2025-26 European season. The Bayern Munich striker posted the highest tallies in goals and assists while securing Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, and related domestic awards. Trader positioning reflects Kane's consistent output despite England's World Cup exit. Lamine Yamal sits at 16.4% on the strength of his Barcelona campaign (La Liga title, Supercopa) and standout role in Spain's tournament triumph, though his lower raw scoring volume keeps him behind. Rodri and Kylian Mbappé trail further at 7.5% each, buoyed by prior form and club success but lacking Kane's volume or Yamal's recent trophy momentum. The market incorporates the full August-to-July window, including the 2026 World Cup.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$28,418,222
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Kaugnay

icon for Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

95%
icon for Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

98%
icon for Will Erling Haaland be named to the 2026 PFA Premier League Team of the Year?

Will Erling Haaland be named to the 2026 PFA Premier League Team of the Year?

93%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 31 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Harry Kane" sa 58%, sinusundan ng "Lamine Yamal" sa 16%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 58¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 58% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay naka-generate ng $28.4 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Sep 22, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026," i-browse ang 31 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay "Harry Kane" sa 58%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 58% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Lamine Yamal" sa 16%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.