Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 60.6% implied probability after a historic 2025/26 campaign with Bayern Munich, where he delivered 61-plus goals across competitions en route to a domestic treble, then added six World Cup goals to become England's all-time leading scorer at the tournament. Traders have priced in his combination of volume scoring, silverware, and late-summer momentum as the decisive edge. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.6% on the strength of Barcelona's La Liga title, elite creative output, and Spain's deep World Cup run, though his individual World Cup impact trailed Kane's. Lower-priced names such as Rodri and Kylian Mbappé reflect strong prior seasons without matching Kane's 2025/26 volume or trophy haul. The current pricing captures post-tournament consensus on standout individual contributions rather than long-term career narratives.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHarry Kane 60.5%
Lamine Yamal 15.6%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 7.8%
$29,091,599 Vol.
$29,091,599 Vol.
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Lionel Messi
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 60.5%
Lamine Yamal 15.6%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 7.8%
$29,091,599 Vol.
$29,091,599 Vol.
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Lionel Messi
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 60.6% implied probability after a historic 2025/26 campaign with Bayern Munich, where he delivered 61-plus goals across competitions en route to a domestic treble, then added six World Cup goals to become England's all-time leading scorer at the tournament. Traders have priced in his combination of volume scoring, silverware, and late-summer momentum as the decisive edge. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.6% on the strength of Barcelona's La Liga title, elite creative output, and Spain's deep World Cup run, though his individual World Cup impact trailed Kane's. Lower-priced names such as Rodri and Kylian Mbappé reflect strong prior seasons without matching Kane's 2025/26 volume or trophy haul. The current pricing captures post-tournament consensus on standout individual contributions rather than long-term career narratives.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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