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Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

icon for Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane 60.9%

Lamine Yamal 15.4%

Kylian Mbappé 8.8%

Rodri 9%

Polymarket

$29,056,752 Vol.

Harry Kane 60.9%

Lamine Yamal 15.4%

Kylian Mbappé 8.8%

Rodri 9%

Polymarket

$29,056,752 Vol.

Harry Kane

$3,405,437 Vol.

61%

Lamine Yamal

$1,834,012 Vol.

15%

Kylian Mbappé

$1,592,896 Vol.

9%

Rodri

$1,100,632 Vol.

9%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$1,114,648 Vol.

5%

Ousmane Dembélé

$1,858,674 Vol.

2%

Lionel Messi

$1,926,735 Vol.

2%

Fabian Ruiz

$874,532 Vol.

1%

Michael Olise

$1,091,575 Vol.

<1%

Erling Haaland

$1,282,017 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$1,034,353 Vol.

<1%

Declan Rice

$815,402 Vol.

<1%

Vitinha

$711,801 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$1,057,708 Vol.

<1%

Vinícius Júnior

$1,067,431 Vol.

<1%

Pedri

$884,675 Vol.

<1%

Cole Palmer

$679,621 Vol.

<1%

Julian Alvarez

$732,885 Vol.

<1%

Raphinha

$695,107 Vol.

<1%

Bruno Fernandes

$709,212 Vol.

<1%

Lautaro Martinez

$487,143 Vol.

<1%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$457,373 Vol.

<1%

Enzo Fernandez

$67,071 Vol.

<1%

Federico Valverde

$447,652 Vol.

<1%

Desire Doue

$733,383 Vol.

<1%

Achraf Hakimi

$740,043 Vol.

<1%

Luis Diaz

$439,309 Vol.

<1%

Dominik Szoboszlai

$168,279 Vol.

<1%

Pau Cubarsi

$811,282 Vol.

<1%

Rodrygo

$88,121 Vol.

<1%

Bukayo Saka

$147,747 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 60.9% implied probability after an exceptional 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich, where he posted record goal tallies across the Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, and DFL-Supercup while delivering standout World Cup performances for England. Traders view his consistent scoring volume and club silverware as decisive edges in the voting criteria. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.4% on the strength of Spain's World Cup triumph, his La Liga title, and creative output at Barcelona, though his youth and lower goal count relative to Kane keep him behind in consensus pricing. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia trail further due to comparatively muted team successes or statistical impact in the season's key competitions.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$29,056,752
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 60.9% implied probability after an exceptional 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich, where he posted record goal tallies across the Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, and DFL-Supercup while delivering standout World Cup performances for England. Traders view his consistent scoring volume and club silverware as decisive edges in the voting criteria. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.4% on the strength of Spain's World Cup triumph, his La Liga title, and creative output at Barcelona, though his youth and lower goal count relative to Kane keep him behind in consensus pricing. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia trail further due to comparatively muted team successes or statistical impact in the season's key competitions.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$29,056,752
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 31 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Harry Kane" sa 61%, sinusundan ng "Lamine Yamal" sa 15%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 61¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 61% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay naka-generate ng $29.1 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Sep 22, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026," i-browse ang 31 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay "Harry Kane" sa 61%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 61% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Lamine Yamal" sa 15%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.