Harry Kane's dominant 2025-26 club campaign with Bayern Munich—leading the Bundesliga in goals en route to another title plus DFB-Pokal success—combined with six World Cup strikes for England, has driven the market consensus that prices him at 61% implied probability. Traders view his consistent output and individual honors as the strongest case among candidates. Lamine Yamal sits second at 15.6% on the back of Spain's tournament showing and his continued elite form at Barcelona, while Kylian Mbappé (8.8%), Rodri (8.5%), and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (4.3%) trail amid more fragmented club and international contributions. The wide-open post-World Cup landscape leaves room for late momentum shifts before the award cycle closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHarry Kane 60.9%
Lamine Yamal 15.6%
Kylian Mbappé 8.8%
Rodri 9%
$29,035,952 Vol.
$29,035,952 Vol.
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Kylian Mbappé
9%
Rodri
9%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 60.9%
Lamine Yamal 15.6%
Kylian Mbappé 8.8%
Rodri 9%
$29,035,952 Vol.
$29,035,952 Vol.
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Kylian Mbappé
9%
Rodri
9%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane's dominant 2025-26 club campaign with Bayern Munich—leading the Bundesliga in goals en route to another title plus DFB-Pokal success—combined with six World Cup strikes for England, has driven the market consensus that prices him at 61% implied probability. Traders view his consistent output and individual honors as the strongest case among candidates. Lamine Yamal sits second at 15.6% on the back of Spain's tournament showing and his continued elite form at Barcelona, while Kylian Mbappé (8.8%), Rodri (8.5%), and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (4.3%) trail amid more fragmented club and international contributions. The wide-open post-World Cup landscape leaves room for late momentum shifts before the award cycle closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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