Traders view Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley as holding a modest edge for the Billboard Hot 100 number one the week of August 15, reflected in its 54.5% implied probability. A cluster of releases including several unnamed tracks sit near 50%, while Ariana Grande's Petal and hate that i made you love me, Morgan Wallen's Been By Now, and Taylor Swift's I Knew It, I Knew You range from 41-42.5%. Lower odds for Olivia Rodrigo's Drop Dead, Stella Lefty's Boston, and Ella Langley's Be Her highlight a tightly contested field. Streaming metrics, fan-driven sales, and any late promotional surges during the final tracking window remain the key swing factors that could shift the market consensus before the chart locks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateBillboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of August 15
Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of August 15
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift 77%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 52%
Boston - Stella Lefty 48%
Petal - Ariana Grande 46%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 11, 2026
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
77%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
52%
Boston - Stella Lefty
48%
Petal - Ariana Grande
46%
Be Her - Ella Langley
44%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
37%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
34%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
22%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift 77%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 52%
Boston - Stella Lefty 48%
Petal - Ariana Grande 46%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 11, 2026
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
$539 Vol.
77%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
$34 Vol.
52%
Boston - Stella Lefty
$539 Vol.
48%
Petal - Ariana Grande
$0 Vol.
46%
Be Her - Ella Langley
$539 Vol.
44%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
$0 Vol.
37%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
$0 Vol.
34%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
$542 Vol.
22%
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Traders view Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley as holding a modest edge for the Billboard Hot 100 number one the week of August 15, reflected in its 54.5% implied probability. A cluster of releases including several unnamed tracks sit near 50%, while Ariana Grande's Petal and hate that i made you love me, Morgan Wallen's Been By Now, and Taylor Swift's I Knew It, I Knew You range from 41-42.5%. Lower odds for Olivia Rodrigo's Drop Dead, Stella Lefty's Boston, and Ella Langley's Be Her highlight a tightly contested field. Streaming metrics, fan-driven sales, and any late promotional surges during the final tracking window remain the key swing factors that could shift the market consensus before the chart locks.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 3, 2026, 8:35 PM ET
Volume
$2,194Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 3, 2026, 8:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Traders view Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley as holding a modest edge for the Billboard Hot 100 number one the week of August 15, reflected in its 54.5% implied probability. A cluster of releases including several unnamed tracks sit near 50%, while Ariana Grande's Petal and hate that i made you love me, Morgan Wallen's Been By Now, and Taylor Swift's I Knew It, I Knew You range from 41-42.5%. Lower odds for Olivia Rodrigo's Drop Dead, Stella Lefty's Boston, and Ella Langley's Be Her highlight a tightly contested field. Streaming metrics, fan-driven sales, and any late promotional surges during the final tracking window remain the key swing factors that could shift the market consensus before the chart locks.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled "Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)".
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$2,194Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 3, 2026, 8:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders view Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley as holding a modest edge for the Billboard Hot 100 number one the week of August 15, reflected in its 54.5% implied probability. A cluster of releases including several unnamed tracks sit near 50%, while Ariana Grande's Petal and hate that i made you love me, Morgan Wallen's Been By Now, and Taylor Swift's I Knew It, I Knew You range from 41-42.5%. Lower odds for Olivia Rodrigo's Drop Dead, Stella Lefty's Boston, and Ella Langley's Be Her highlight a tightly contested field. Streaming metrics, fan-driven sales, and any late promotional surges during the final tracking window remain the key swing factors that could shift the market consensus before the chart locks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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