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icon for Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

icon for Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI 35%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke 29%

DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH 18.3%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV 18%

Polymarket
BAGO

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI 35%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke 29%

DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH 18.3%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV 18%

Polymarket
BAGO

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI

$945 Vol.

35%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke

$768 Vol.

29%

DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH

$145 Vol.

18%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV

$919 Vol.

18%

AMARGA NAVIDAD by Pedro ALMODÓVAR

$200 Vol.

11%

LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI

$316 Vol.

11%

FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU

$230 Vol.

11%

THE UNKNOWN by Arthur HARARI

$362 Vol.

9%

THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS

$141 Vol.

8%

EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)

$194 Vol.

5%

HOPE by NA Hong-jin

$2,459 Vol.

5%

NAGI NOTES by FUKADA Koji

$87 Vol.

5%

A WOMAN'S LIFE by Charline BOURGEOIS-TACQUET

$171 Vol.

5%

COWARD by Lukas DHONT

$209 Vol.

5%

PAPER TIGER by James GRAY

$161 Vol.

5%

MOULIN by László NEMES

$171 Vol.

3%

PARALLEL TALES by Asghar FARHADI

$664 Vol.

3%

GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER

$192 Vol.

3%

THE MAN I LOVE by Ira SACHS

$171 Vol.

3%

SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu

$1,169 Vol.

2%

NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE

$156 Vol.

2%

ANOTHER DAY by Jeanne HERRY

$152 Vol.

10%

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight race for the Palme d'Or at Cannes reflects a field of seasoned international auteurs whose latest works have generated strong early buzz among critics and programmers. Pawel Pawlikowski’s FATHERLAND holds the top position with 35% implied probability, edging out Ryusuke Hamaguchi’s ALL OF A SUDDEN at 28%, as traders weigh Pawlikowski’s proven festival track record against Hamaguchi’s recent Palme-winning momentum. Andrey Zvyagintsev’s MINOTAUR sits at 19% on the strength of its politically charged storytelling, while a broad pack of titles from Pedro Almodóvar, Cristian Mungiu, and others cluster between 11% and 5%, underscoring how jury composition, premiere screenings, and last-minute critical reception can still reshape outcomes in the coming days.

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,981
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight race for the Palme d'Or at Cannes reflects a field of seasoned international auteurs whose latest works have generated strong early buzz among critics and programmers. Pawel Pawlikowski’s FATHERLAND holds the top position with 35% implied probability, edging out Ryusuke Hamaguchi’s ALL OF A SUDDEN at 28%, as traders weigh Pawlikowski’s proven festival track record against Hamaguchi’s recent Palme-winning momentum. Andrey Zvyagintsev’s MINOTAUR sits at 19% on the strength of its politically charged storytelling, while a broad pack of titles from Pedro Almodóvar, Cristian Mungiu, and others cluster between 11% and 5%, underscoring how jury composition, premiere screenings, and last-minute critical reception can still reshape outcomes in the coming days.

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,981
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 22 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" sa 35%, sinusundan ng "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" sa 29%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 35¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 35% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Apr 16, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner," i-browse ang 22 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" ay "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" sa 35%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 35% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" sa 29%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.