Current WTI crude oil prices hover near $81–82 per barrel as of mid-August 2026, well below the $147.27 all-time high set in July 2008, leaving a substantial gap that requires sharp supply shocks or demand surges to close. Geopolitical tensions, including the 2026 Iran-related disruptions that briefly lifted Brent above $105 in July, have elevated implied probabilities by threatening flows through the Strait of Hormuz, yet subsequent rebalancing via larger-than-expected demand destruction and limited OECD inventory draws has capped upside. Trader consensus reflects ongoing OPEC+ production policy, non-OPEC supply growth from the U.S., Brazil, and Guyana, China demand trends, and broader macro factors such as Treasury yields, the U.S. dollar, and Fed rate expectations. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming EIA inventory reports, FOMC communications, and any renewed Middle East supply risks that could reprice the path to record highs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateCrude Oil all time high by...?
$2,512,744 Vol.
September 30
3%
December 31
12%
$2,512,744 Vol.
September 30
3%
December 31
12%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Current WTI crude oil prices hover near $81–82 per barrel as of mid-August 2026, well below the $147.27 all-time high set in July 2008, leaving a substantial gap that requires sharp supply shocks or demand surges to close. Geopolitical tensions, including the 2026 Iran-related disruptions that briefly lifted Brent above $105 in July, have elevated implied probabilities by threatening flows through the Strait of Hormuz, yet subsequent rebalancing via larger-than-expected demand destruction and limited OECD inventory draws has capped upside. Trader consensus reflects ongoing OPEC+ production policy, non-OPEC supply growth from the U.S., Brazil, and Guyana, China demand trends, and broader macro factors such as Treasury yields, the U.S. dollar, and Fed rate expectations. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming EIA inventory reports, FOMC communications, and any renewed Middle East supply risks that could reprice the path to record highs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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