Finland leads the Eurovision 2026 market at 43.7% implied probability, driven by its standout rehearsals and semi-final performance of the theatrical disco track "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which has solidified its status as the clear frontrunner ahead of Saturday’s Vienna grand final. Australia’s surge to 29.6% reflects Delta Goodrem’s star power and polished ballad “Eclipse,” which gained momentum after the second semi-final with strong staging and crossover appeal to both juries and televoters. Israel, Bulgaria, and Greece sit in the 6–7% range on solid but narrower support, while lower-placed entries like Denmark and Italy show limited late momentum. With the final just days away, any shift in running order, televote patterns, or jury preferences could still alter the tight middle pack.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateEurovision Winner 2026
Finland 43.5%
Australia 29.6%
Israel 7.8%
Bulgaria 6.6%
$181,440,245 Vol.
$181,440,245 Vol.

Finland
44%

Australia
30%

Israel
8%

Bulgaria
7%

Greece
6%

Romania
3%

Denmark
2%

Italya
1%

Ukraine
1%

France
1%

Moldova
1%

Albania
<1%

Croatia
<1%

Sweden
<1%

Malta
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Cyprus
<1%

Norway
<1%

Poland
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Austria
<1%

Belgium
<1%

Germany
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%
Finland 43.5%
Australia 29.6%
Israel 7.8%
Bulgaria 6.6%
$181,440,245 Vol.
$181,440,245 Vol.

Finland
44%

Australia
30%

Israel
8%

Bulgaria
7%

Greece
6%

Romania
3%

Denmark
2%

Italya
1%

Ukraine
1%

France
1%

Moldova
1%

Albania
<1%

Croatia
<1%

Sweden
<1%

Malta
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Cyprus
<1%

Norway
<1%

Poland
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Austria
<1%

Belgium
<1%

Germany
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland leads the Eurovision 2026 market at 43.7% implied probability, driven by its standout rehearsals and semi-final performance of the theatrical disco track "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which has solidified its status as the clear frontrunner ahead of Saturday’s Vienna grand final. Australia’s surge to 29.6% reflects Delta Goodrem’s star power and polished ballad “Eclipse,” which gained momentum after the second semi-final with strong staging and crossover appeal to both juries and televoters. Israel, Bulgaria, and Greece sit in the 6–7% range on solid but narrower support, while lower-placed entries like Denmark and Italy show limited late momentum. With the final just days away, any shift in running order, televote patterns, or jury preferences could still alter the tight middle pack.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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