Mercedes holds an 83.5% implied probability as 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion after building a 72-point lead over Ferrari with 379 points through the first half of the 23-race season. Strong results from Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, combined with superior adaptation to the new power unit regulations emphasizing electric deployment and efficiency, underpin the gap. Ferrari sits second at 12.8% on 307 points, narrowing the margin via an aggressive upgrade program but still trailing after consistent podium contention from Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc. McLaren (1.7%) remains competitive in third on 220 points with Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, while Red Bull (0.3%) and the rest lag further behind on current form and development pace. Trader consensus reflects these standings and ongoing development battles heading into the post-summer break rounds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMercedes 84%
Ferrari 12.8%
McLaren 1.7%
Red Bull Racing <1%
$28,300,158 Vol.
$28,300,158 Vol.

Mercedes
84%

Ferrari
13%

McLaren
2%

Red Bull Racing
<1%

Aston Martin
<1%

Williams
<1%

Audi
<1%

Cadillac
<1%

Racing Bulls
<1%

Haas
<1%

Alpine
<1%
Mercedes 84%
Ferrari 12.8%
McLaren 1.7%
Red Bull Racing <1%
$28,300,158 Vol.
$28,300,158 Vol.

Mercedes
84%

Ferrari
13%

McLaren
2%

Red Bull Racing
<1%

Aston Martin
<1%

Williams
<1%

Audi
<1%

Cadillac
<1%

Racing Bulls
<1%

Haas
<1%

Alpine
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds an 83.5% implied probability as 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion after building a 72-point lead over Ferrari with 379 points through the first half of the 23-race season. Strong results from Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, combined with superior adaptation to the new power unit regulations emphasizing electric deployment and efficiency, underpin the gap. Ferrari sits second at 12.8% on 307 points, narrowing the margin via an aggressive upgrade program but still trailing after consistent podium contention from Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc. McLaren (1.7%) remains competitive in third on 220 points with Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, while Red Bull (0.3%) and the rest lag further behind on current form and development pace. Trader consensus reflects these standings and ongoing development battles heading into the post-summer break rounds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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