Brazilian Senator Flávio Bolsonaro remains under a Supreme Court investigation opened in July into alleged money laundering, corruption, and related offenses tied to film financing from a disgraced banker, with documents unsealed in mid-September. No formal charges or arrest warrants have been issued as of late September, and the nine-day window to the resolution deadline limits escalation by federal police or the STF. His status as a sitting senator and leading presidential candidate adds procedural protections that historically slow such actions. Trader consensus at 96% for no charges or arrest by September 30 reflects these barriers and the absence of imminent developments. Late-breaking evidence or an expedited judicial order could still alter the outcome, though such steps are uncommon in this compressed timeframe.