Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a Seattle high of 76–78°F on August 15, 2026, driven by persistent onshore marine air flow from the cool Pacific that moderates daytime heating under moderate zonal flow aloft. This setup aligns with typical August climatology, where average highs near 77°F reflect the strong marine influence and limited day-to-day variability, keeping extremes unlikely despite the broader warmer-than-normal Pacific Northwest summer pattern. Traders thus cluster probability on the 74–77°F outcomes as new model runs show minimal deviation from these thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Seattle on August 15?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 15?
76-77°F 47%
74-75°F 40%
73°F or below 10.5%
78-79°F 3%
$26,196 Vol.
$26,196 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
73°F or below
11%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
47%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 47%
74-75°F 40%
73°F or below 10.5%
78-79°F 3%
$26,196 Vol.
$26,196 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
73°F or below
$6,280 Vol.
11%
74-75°F
$3,866 Vol.
40%
76-77°F
$4,355 Vol.
47%
78-79°F
$4,256 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$3,167 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$1,258 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$1,300 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$720 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$317 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$315 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$361 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a Seattle high of 76–78°F on August 15, 2026, driven by persistent onshore marine air flow from the cool Pacific that moderates daytime heating under moderate zonal flow aloft. This setup aligns with typical August climatology, where average highs near 77°F reflect the strong marine influence and limited day-to-day variability, keeping extremes unlikely despite the broader warmer-than-normal Pacific Northwest summer pattern. Traders thus cluster probability on the 74–77°F outcomes as new model runs show minimal deviation from these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$26,196Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a Seattle high of 76–78°F on August 15, 2026, driven by persistent onshore marine air flow from the cool Pacific that moderates daytime heating under moderate zonal flow aloft. This setup aligns with typical August climatology, where average highs near 77°F reflect the strong marine influence and limited day-to-day variability, keeping extremes unlikely despite the broader warmer-than-normal Pacific Northwest summer pattern. Traders thus cluster probability on the 74–77°F outcomes as new model runs show minimal deviation from these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,196Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a Seattle high of 76–78°F on August 15, 2026, driven by persistent onshore marine air flow from the cool Pacific that moderates daytime heating under moderate zonal flow aloft. This setup aligns with typical August climatology, where average highs near 77°F reflect the strong marine influence and limited day-to-day variability, keeping extremes unlikely despite the broader warmer-than-normal Pacific Northwest summer pattern. Traders thus cluster probability on the 74–77°F outcomes as new model runs show minimal deviation from these thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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