The Atlantic basin's record-quiet 2026 season, with five tropical storms but zero hurricanes through mid-September, has driven the market's heavy weighting toward 0 or 1-3 total hurricanes. A strong El Niño has produced persistent high wind shear across the main development region, inhibiting intensification despite five named systems and keeping accumulated cyclone energy 94% below average. NOAA's August update maintains a below-normal outlook of 2-6 hurricanes for the full June-November period, consistent with historical analogs under similar ENSO conditions. With the climatological peak now past and the National Hurricane Center showing no imminent development, traders see limited scope for late-season catch-up, though October activity remains possible before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHow many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
1-3 62%
0 36%
4-6 3.5%
7+ <1%
$31,080 Vol.
$31,080 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
0
36%
1-3
62%
4-6
3%
7+
<1%
1-3 62%
0 36%
4-6 3.5%
7+ <1%
$31,080 Vol.
$31,080 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
0
$16,790 Vol.
36%
1-3
$5,372 Vol.
62%
4-6
$6,694 Vol.
3%
7+
$2,224 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.The Atlantic basin's record-quiet 2026 season, with five tropical storms but zero hurricanes through mid-September, has driven the market's heavy weighting toward 0 or 1-3 total hurricanes. A strong El Niño has produced persistent high wind shear across the main development region, inhibiting intensification despite five named systems and keeping accumulated cyclone energy 94% below average. NOAA's August update maintains a below-normal outlook of 2-6 hurricanes for the full June-November period, consistent with historical analogs under similar ENSO conditions. With the climatological peak now past and the National Hurricane Center showing no imminent development, traders see limited scope for late-season catch-up, though October activity remains possible before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Volume
$31,080Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.The Atlantic basin's record-quiet 2026 season, with five tropical storms but zero hurricanes through mid-September, has driven the market's heavy weighting toward 0 or 1-3 total hurricanes. A strong El Niño has produced persistent high wind shear across the main development region, inhibiting intensification despite five named systems and keeping accumulated cyclone energy 94% below average. NOAA's August update maintains a below-normal outlook of 2-6 hurricanes for the full June-November period, consistent with historical analogs under similar ENSO conditions. With the climatological peak now past and the National Hurricane Center showing no imminent development, traders see limited scope for late-season catch-up, though October activity remains possible before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Volume
$31,080Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Atlantic basin's record-quiet 2026 season, with five tropical storms but zero hurricanes through mid-September, has driven the market's heavy weighting toward 0 or 1-3 total hurricanes. A strong El Niño has produced persistent high wind shear across the main development region, inhibiting intensification despite five named systems and keeping accumulated cyclone energy 94% below average. NOAA's August update maintains a below-normal outlook of 2-6 hurricanes for the full June-November period, consistent with historical analogs under similar ENSO conditions. With the climatological peak now past and the National Hurricane Center showing no imminent development, traders see limited scope for late-season catch-up, though October activity remains possible before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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