The closely contested August 29 referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations has driven strong mobilization on both sides, with final polls showing splits as narrow as 51-49 and roughly 8% undecided among decided voters. This dynamic, combined with early voting totals already exceeding 40,000 of the approximately 267,000 eligible voters, supports trader expectations of turnout in the mid-to-high ranges seen in recent parliamentary and presidential elections around 80%. Historical referendum turnouts have varied more widely from the mid-40s to mid-70s, adding uncertainty that keeps multiple outcome bins clustered near even prices. A final weekend push by campaigns or last-minute shifts in participation among undecided or rural voters could still separate the leading ranges before polls close.