Idaho’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent past results favoring the party by wide margins. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary with 78 percent of the vote, demonstrating consolidated party support ahead of the November general election against Democratic nominee Kaylee Peterson and minor-party candidates. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus pricing at 94.8 percent for the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or late developments. A major scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in the district suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateID-01 House Election Winner
ID-01 House Election Winner
$48,161 Vol.
$48,161 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
4%
$48,161 Vol.
$48,161 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$32,532 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$15,629 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent past results favoring the party by wide margins. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary with 78 percent of the vote, demonstrating consolidated party support ahead of the November general election against Democratic nominee Kaylee Peterson and minor-party candidates. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus pricing at 94.8 percent for the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or late developments. A major scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in the district suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$48,161Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent past results favoring the party by wide margins. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary with 78 percent of the vote, demonstrating consolidated party support ahead of the November general election against Democratic nominee Kaylee Peterson and minor-party candidates. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus pricing at 94.8 percent for the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or late developments. A major scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in the district suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$48,161Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent past results favoring the party by wide margins. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary with 78 percent of the vote, demonstrating consolidated party support ahead of the November general election against Democratic nominee Kaylee Peterson and minor-party candidates. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus pricing at 94.8 percent for the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or late developments. A major scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in the district suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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