Recent CPI readings, with July 2026 inflation at 4.45% and June at 4.38%, alongside the Reserve Bank of India’s FY27 forecast of 5.0%, underpin trader positioning for India’s 2026 annual inflation at or above 4.50%. Persistent food and fuel price pressures, base effects from prior lows, and supply-side risks tied to monsoon variability and global energy markets have supported upward revisions in consensus estimates around 4.8–5.1%. Core inflation remains contained near 4.3%, limiting the scope for sharper disinflation, while the RBI’s August policy communication highlighted balanced risks without signaling imminent relief. These dynamics sustain market-implied odds favoring the upper range ahead of further monthly data releases.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update4.50%+ 80%
3.75% to 4.49% 13.3%
<0.75% 4.3%
1.50% to 2.24% 2.7%
$78,319 Vol.
$78,319 Vol.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
4%
0.75% to 1.49%
<1%
1.50% to 2.24%
3%
2.25% to 2.99%
1%
3.00% to 3.74%
2%
3.75% to 4.49%
13%
4.50%+
80%
4.50%+ 80%
3.75% to 4.49% 13.3%
<0.75% 4.3%
1.50% to 2.24% 2.7%
$78,319 Vol.
$78,319 Vol.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
$1,769 Vol.
4%
0.75% to 1.49%
$1,191 Vol.
<1%
1.50% to 2.24%
$1,265 Vol.
3%
2.25% to 2.99%
$24,989 Vol.
1%
3.00% to 3.74%
$2,081 Vol.
2%
3.75% to 4.49%
$29,540 Vol.
13%
4.50%+
$17,483 Vol.
80%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent CPI readings, with July 2026 inflation at 4.45% and June at 4.38%, alongside the Reserve Bank of India’s FY27 forecast of 5.0%, underpin trader positioning for India’s 2026 annual inflation at or above 4.50%. Persistent food and fuel price pressures, base effects from prior lows, and supply-side risks tied to monsoon variability and global energy markets have supported upward revisions in consensus estimates around 4.8–5.1%. Core inflation remains contained near 4.3%, limiting the scope for sharper disinflation, while the RBI’s August policy communication highlighted balanced risks without signaling imminent relief. These dynamics sustain market-implied odds favoring the upper range ahead of further monthly data releases.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volume
$78,319Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 12, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent CPI readings, with July 2026 inflation at 4.45% and June at 4.38%, alongside the Reserve Bank of India’s FY27 forecast of 5.0%, underpin trader positioning for India’s 2026 annual inflation at or above 4.50%. Persistent food and fuel price pressures, base effects from prior lows, and supply-side risks tied to monsoon variability and global energy markets have supported upward revisions in consensus estimates around 4.8–5.1%. Core inflation remains contained near 4.3%, limiting the scope for sharper disinflation, while the RBI’s August policy communication highlighted balanced risks without signaling imminent relief. These dynamics sustain market-implied odds favoring the upper range ahead of further monthly data releases.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Volume
$78,319Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 12, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent CPI readings, with July 2026 inflation at 4.45% and June at 4.38%, alongside the Reserve Bank of India’s FY27 forecast of 5.0%, underpin trader positioning for India’s 2026 annual inflation at or above 4.50%. Persistent food and fuel price pressures, base effects from prior lows, and supply-side risks tied to monsoon variability and global energy markets have supported upward revisions in consensus estimates around 4.8–5.1%. Core inflation remains contained near 4.3%, limiting the scope for sharper disinflation, while the RBI’s August policy communication highlighted balanced risks without signaling imminent relief. These dynamics sustain market-implied odds favoring the upper range ahead of further monthly data releases.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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