Recent USGS monitoring shows only minor seismic activity, including scattered magnitude 2–4 events and small swarms near Corona and the central San Andreas, with no foreshocks or strain anomalies indicating imminent rupture on Los Angeles-area faults such as the Newport-Inglewood or Puente Hills blind thrusts. The roughly four-month window to 2027 is far shorter than typical recurrence intervals for M6.5+ events in the region, which average decades to centuries based on paleoseismic records. This supports the market-implied 93.7% probability of “No.” An unexpected moderate-to-large release on a locked segment remains possible given elevated tectonic stress, though current data show no acceleration toward that threshold.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
6% tsansa
$16,533 Vol.
$16,533 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
6% tsansa
$16,533 Vol.
$16,533 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an earthquake with a magnitude of 6.5 or greater occurs within a 50-mile radius of Los Angeles, California (34.0522° N, 118.2437° W) between market creation and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Map (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=32.54681,-121.05835&extent=35.63944,-114.90601).
For the purposes of this market, The epicenter must fall within 50 miles of Los Angeles (34.0522° N, 118.2437° W), calculated as a straight-line distance from the epicenter to the reference point.
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.Recent USGS monitoring shows only minor seismic activity, including scattered magnitude 2–4 events and small swarms near Corona and the central San Andreas, with no foreshocks or strain anomalies indicating imminent rupture on Los Angeles-area faults such as the Newport-Inglewood or Puente Hills blind thrusts. The roughly four-month window to 2027 is far shorter than typical recurrence intervals for M6.5+ events in the region, which average decades to centuries based on paleoseismic records. This supports the market-implied 93.7% probability of “No.” An unexpected moderate-to-large release on a locked segment remains possible given elevated tectonic stress, though current data show no acceleration toward that threshold.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an earthquake with a magnitude of 6.5 or greater occurs within a 50-mile radius of Los Angeles, California (34.0522° N, 118.2437° W) between market creation and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Map (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=32.54681,-121.05835&extent=35.63944,-114.90601).
For the purposes of this market, The epicenter must fall within 50 miles of Los Angeles (34.0522° N, 118.2437° W), calculated as a straight-line distance from the epicenter to the reference point.
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Map (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=32.54681,-121.05835&extent=35.63944,-114.90601).
For the purposes of this market, The epicenter must fall within 50 miles of Los Angeles (34.0522° N, 118.2437° W), calculated as a straight-line distance from the epicenter to the reference point.
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 3, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Volume
$16,533Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 3, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an earthquake with a magnitude of 6.5 or greater occurs within a 50-mile radius of Los Angeles, California (34.0522° N, 118.2437° W) between market creation and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Map (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=32.54681,-121.05835&extent=35.63944,-114.90601).
For the purposes of this market, The epicenter must fall within 50 miles of Los Angeles (34.0522° N, 118.2437° W), calculated as a straight-line distance from the epicenter to the reference point.
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.Recent USGS monitoring shows only minor seismic activity, including scattered magnitude 2–4 events and small swarms near Corona and the central San Andreas, with no foreshocks or strain anomalies indicating imminent rupture on Los Angeles-area faults such as the Newport-Inglewood or Puente Hills blind thrusts. The roughly four-month window to 2027 is far shorter than typical recurrence intervals for M6.5+ events in the region, which average decades to centuries based on paleoseismic records. This supports the market-implied 93.7% probability of “No.” An unexpected moderate-to-large release on a locked segment remains possible given elevated tectonic stress, though current data show no acceleration toward that threshold.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an earthquake with a magnitude of 6.5 or greater occurs within a 50-mile radius of Los Angeles, California (34.0522° N, 118.2437° W) between market creation and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Map (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=32.54681,-121.05835&extent=35.63944,-114.90601).
For the purposes of this market, The epicenter must fall within 50 miles of Los Angeles (34.0522° N, 118.2437° W), calculated as a straight-line distance from the epicenter to the reference point.
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Map (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=32.54681,-121.05835&extent=35.63944,-114.90601).
For the purposes of this market, The epicenter must fall within 50 miles of Los Angeles (34.0522° N, 118.2437° W), calculated as a straight-line distance from the epicenter to the reference point.
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$16,533Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 3, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent USGS monitoring shows only minor seismic activity, including scattered magnitude 2–4 events and small swarms near Corona and the central San Andreas, with no foreshocks or strain anomalies indicating imminent rupture on Los Angeles-area faults such as the Newport-Inglewood or Puente Hills blind thrusts. The roughly four-month window to 2027 is far shorter than typical recurrence intervals for M6.5+ events in the region, which average decades to centuries based on paleoseismic records. This supports the market-implied 93.7% probability of “No.” An unexpected moderate-to-large release on a locked segment remains possible given elevated tectonic stress, though current data show no acceleration toward that threshold.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong