**Max Miller remains the locked-in Republican nominee for Ohio’s 7th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, with his current term running until January 3, 2027.** Despite domestic abuse allegations from his ex-wife that surfaced publicly in summer 2026 and prompted calls for resignation from figures including Sen. Bernie Moreno and Sen. Jon Husted, Miller has repeatedly refused to withdraw, loaned his campaign $1 million, and requested a House Ethics Committee review that is now underway. The August 2026 deadline for Ohio Republicans to replace him on the ballot passed without his cooperation, leaving him on the ticket against Democrat Brian Poindexter in a district that leaned Republican in the prior cycle. Recent polling has shown Miller trailing or in a tighter contest than expected, but no verified developments indicate an imminent resignation or other mechanism that would end his service before December 31, 2026. Traders therefore assign the higher probability to him continuing to hold the seat through year-end, reflecting his stated determination and the structural timeline of his term.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateThe departure will be considered to be announced when Max Miller, the United States House of Representatives, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Max Miller has ceased or will cease to hold the position of US Representative from Ohio's Seventh Congressional District. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives.
Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).
Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify.
If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the specified date without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to "Yes" if major news agencies of record confirm the departure by the specified date.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 7, 2026, 4:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The departure will be considered to be announced when Max Miller, the United States House of Representatives, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Max Miller has ceased or will cease to hold the position of US Representative from Ohio's Seventh Congressional District. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives.
Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).
Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify.
If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the specified date without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to "Yes" if major news agencies of record confirm the departure by the specified date.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Max Miller remains the locked-in Republican nominee for Ohio’s 7th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, with his current term running until January 3, 2027.** Despite domestic abuse allegations from his ex-wife that surfaced publicly in summer 2026 and prompted calls for resignation from figures including Sen. Bernie Moreno and Sen. Jon Husted, Miller has repeatedly refused to withdraw, loaned his campaign $1 million, and requested a House Ethics Committee review that is now underway. The August 2026 deadline for Ohio Republicans to replace him on the ballot passed without his cooperation, leaving him on the ticket against Democrat Brian Poindexter in a district that leaned Republican in the prior cycle. Recent polling has shown Miller trailing or in a tighter contest than expected, but no verified developments indicate an imminent resignation or other mechanism that would end his service before December 31, 2026. Traders therefore assign the higher probability to him continuing to hold the seat through year-end, reflecting his stated determination and the structural timeline of his term.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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