In the opening weeks of the 2026 MLB season, the National League Hank Aaron Award market stays wide open, with Shohei Ohtani carrying the highest trader-implied probability at 17.5% thanks to his elite power, plate discipline, and placement in a potent Dodgers lineup that maximizes run production. Kyle Schwarber sits at 8.9% on the strength of his proven home-run swing and favorable home park in Philadelphia, while Juan Soto at 5.7% and Bryce Harper at 4.2% rely on established track records of consistent extra-base hits. Ronald Acuña Jr. at 3.4% and Francisco Lindor at 3.1% offer speed-plus-power upside, yet the field’s depth and early-season volatility mean any sustained hot streak or injury could quickly reorder the consensus ahead of the All-Star break.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner
Shohei Ohtani 18%
Kyle Schwarber 7.5%
Juan Soto 5.7%
Bryce Harper 4.2%
$119,319 Vol.
$119,319 Vol.
Shohei Ohtani
18%
Kyle Schwarber
8%
Juan Soto
6%
Bryce Harper
4%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
3%
Francisco Lindor
3%
Ketel Marte
1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
1%
Mookie Betts
<1%
Shohei Ohtani 18%
Kyle Schwarber 7.5%
Juan Soto 5.7%
Bryce Harper 4.2%
$119,319 Vol.
$119,319 Vol.
Shohei Ohtani
18%
Kyle Schwarber
8%
Juan Soto
6%
Bryce Harper
4%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
3%
Francisco Lindor
3%
Ketel Marte
1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
1%
Mookie Betts
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the opening weeks of the 2026 MLB season, the National League Hank Aaron Award market stays wide open, with Shohei Ohtani carrying the highest trader-implied probability at 17.5% thanks to his elite power, plate discipline, and placement in a potent Dodgers lineup that maximizes run production. Kyle Schwarber sits at 8.9% on the strength of his proven home-run swing and favorable home park in Philadelphia, while Juan Soto at 5.7% and Bryce Harper at 4.2% rely on established track records of consistent extra-base hits. Ronald Acuña Jr. at 3.4% and Francisco Lindor at 3.1% offer speed-plus-power upside, yet the field’s depth and early-season volatility mean any sustained hot streak or injury could quickly reorder the consensus ahead of the All-Star break.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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