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Palakasan·Rookie

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

icon for MLB: AL Rookie of the Year
Palakasan·Rookie

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

Kevin McGonigle 84%

Munetaka Murakami 12.7%

Kazuma Okamoto <1%

Trey Yesavage <1%

Polymarket

$1,633,319 Vol.

Kevin McGonigle 84%

Munetaka Murakami 12.7%

Kazuma Okamoto <1%

Trey Yesavage <1%

Polymarket

$1,633,319 Vol.

Kevin McGonigle

$47,197 Vol.

84%

Munetaka Murakami

$60,657 Vol.

13%

Kazuma Okamoto

$229,962 Vol.

1%

Trey Yesavage

$3,376 Vol.

1%

Chase DeLauter

$4,873 Vol.

1%

Parker Messick

$1,930 Vol.

1%

Payton Tolle

$195,097 Vol.

1%

Travis Bazzana

$5,115 Vol.

1%

Spencer Jones

$38,190 Vol.

1%

Connelly Early

$71,091 Vol.

<1%

Carter Jensen

$94,357 Vol.

<1%

Walker Jenkins

$63,086 Vol.

<1%

Brice Matthews

$140,584 Vol.

<1%

Leo De Vries

$111,547 Vol.

<1%

Carson Williams

$430,077 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Lagrange

$65,673 Vol.

<1%

Max Clark

$62,753 Vol.

<1%

Tatsuya Imai

$833 Vol.

<1%

Samuel Basallo

$2,450 Vol.

<1%

Dylan Beavers

$1,464 Vol.

<1%

Colt Emerson

$2,546 Vol.

<1%

Sam Antonacci

$231 Vol.

<1%

George Lombard Jr.

$231 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kevin McGonigle’s commanding lead in the AL Rookie of the Year market stems from his standout 2026 campaign with the Detroit Tigers, where the 21-year-old shortstop tops rookie WAR totals while posting elite on-base skills, more walks than strikeouts, and a .393-plus OBP that ranks among league leaders. His consistent production since June has widened the gap in recent voter polls and advanced metrics, anchoring trader consensus near 84 percent. Munetaka Murakami remains the clearest alternative after an All-Star selection and 28-home-run pace with the Chicago White Sox, though his lower batting average and smaller sample keep implied odds around 13 percent. Longshots such as Kazuma Okamoto and Parker Messick trail far behind, reflecting limited impact relative to the frontrunners’ established form.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,633,319
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 19, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kevin McGonigle’s commanding lead in the AL Rookie of the Year market stems from his standout 2026 campaign with the Detroit Tigers, where the 21-year-old shortstop tops rookie WAR totals while posting elite on-base skills, more walks than strikeouts, and a .393-plus OBP that ranks among league leaders. His consistent production since June has widened the gap in recent voter polls and advanced metrics, anchoring trader consensus near 84 percent. Munetaka Murakami remains the clearest alternative after an All-Star selection and 28-home-run pace with the Chicago White Sox, though his lower batting average and smaller sample keep implied odds around 13 percent. Longshots such as Kazuma Okamoto and Parker Messick trail far behind, reflecting limited impact relative to the frontrunners’ established form.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,633,319
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 19, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 23 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Kevin McGonigle" sa 84%, sinusundan ng "Munetaka Murakami" sa 13%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 84¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 84% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" ay naka-generate ng $1.6 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Mar 26, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year," i-browse ang 23 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" ay "Kevin McGonigle" sa 84%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 84% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Munetaka Murakami" sa 13%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.