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Palakasan·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

icon for MLB: Home Runs Leader
Palakasan·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

Aaron Judge 37%

Kyle Schwarber 21%

Munetaka Murakami 18%

Matt Olson 5.5%

Polymarket
BAGO

Aaron Judge 37%

Kyle Schwarber 21%

Munetaka Murakami 18%

Matt Olson 5.5%

Polymarket
BAGO

Aaron Judge

$141 Vol.

37%

Kyle Schwarber

$398 Vol.

21%

Munetaka Murakami

$2,361 Vol.

18%

Matt Olson

$661 Vol.

6%

Yordan Alvarez

$5 Vol.

6%

James Wood

$5 Vol.

4%

Brandon Lowe

$5 Vol.

2%

Shohei Ohtani

$177 Vol.

2%

Shea Langeliers

$201 Vol.

2%

Elly De La Cruz

$161 Vol.

2%

Ben Rice

$5 Vol.

2%

Jordan Walker

$5 Vol.

2%

CJ Abrams

$5 Vol.

1%

Manny Machado

$5 Vol.

1%

Cal Raleigh

$5 Vol.

1%

Junior Caminero

$5 Vol.

1%

Nick Kurtz

$32 Vol.

1%

Sal Stewart

$5 Vol.

1%

George Springer

$27 Vol.

1%

Mike Trout

$5 Vol.

1%

Giancarlo Stanton

$5 Vol.

1%

Eugenio Suarez

$5 Vol.

1%

Juan Soto

$5 Vol.

1%

Rafael Devers

$5 Vol.

1%

Pete Alonso

$5 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Judge holds the edge in trader consensus for MLB home run leader at 36.5% implied probability, buoyed by his league-leading 16 homers through 42 games, first to reach 15 this season, and track record as a perennial power threat with elite OPS over 1.000. Kyle Schwarber's explosive surge—17 homers atop the leaderboard, including six in his last five games through May 12—has propelled him to 20.5%, reflecting Phillies' leadoff slugger's hot streak against weaker pitching. Munetaka Murakami's 15 homers, highlighted by five straight games with long balls for the White Sox, justify his 17.5% share amid a strong rookie adjustment. Yordan Alvarez (13 HR) and Matt Olson trail due to steadier but less torrid paces, with projections favoring sustained output from proven sluggers amid early-season volatility.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,239
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Judge holds the edge in trader consensus for MLB home run leader at 36.5% implied probability, buoyed by his league-leading 16 homers through 42 games, first to reach 15 this season, and track record as a perennial power threat with elite OPS over 1.000. Kyle Schwarber's explosive surge—17 homers atop the leaderboard, including six in his last five games through May 12—has propelled him to 20.5%, reflecting Phillies' leadoff slugger's hot streak against weaker pitching. Munetaka Murakami's 15 homers, highlighted by five straight games with long balls for the White Sox, justify his 17.5% share amid a strong rookie adjustment. Yordan Alvarez (13 HR) and Matt Olson trail due to steadier but less torrid paces, with projections favoring sustained output from proven sluggers amid early-season volatility.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,239
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "MLB: Home Runs Leader" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 25 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Aaron Judge" sa 37%, sinusundan ng "Kyle Schwarber" sa 21%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 37¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 37% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "MLB: Home Runs Leader" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Apr 22, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "MLB: Home Runs Leader," i-browse ang 25 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "MLB: Home Runs Leader" ay "Aaron Judge" sa 37%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 37% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Kyle Schwarber" sa 21%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "MLB: Home Runs Leader" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.