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icon for NBA: When Will LeBron Sign?

NBA: When Will LeBron Sign?

icon for NBA: When Will LeBron Sign?

NBA: When Will LeBron Sign?

July 3 100%

July 7 or after 50%

July 6 46%

July 4 23%

Polymarket
BAGO

July 3 100%

July 7 or after 50%

July 6 46%

July 4 23%

Polymarket
BAGO

July 2

$606 Vol.

2%

July 3

$0 Vol.

100%

July 4

$249 Vol.

23%

July 5

$240 Vol.

21%

July 6

$248 Vol.

46%

July 7 or after

$0 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve in favor of the listed date that LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team. If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “July 7 or After”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.LeBron James became an unrestricted free agent after informing the Lakers on June 30 that he would play his 24th NBA season elsewhere following eight years in Los Angeles. The league moratorium prevents official signings until July 6, creating a narrow window for negotiations that opened July 1 with at least a dozen teams reportedly expressing interest. Multiple suitors, combined with LeBron’s willingness to accept a veteran-minimum deal in some scenarios and his agent’s confirmation of active discussions, have left the exact timing of any agreement unresolved. This uncertainty keeps implied probabilities closely split between a potential quick resolution around July 3 and a more extended process extending to July 7 or later, as teams weigh roster fits and LeBron evaluates options amid standard free-agency procedures.

This market will resolve in favor of the listed date that LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team.

If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “July 7 or After”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
Volume
$1,342
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 2, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
This market will resolve in favor of the listed date that LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team. If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “July 7 or After”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the listed date that LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team. If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “July 7 or After”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.LeBron James became an unrestricted free agent after informing the Lakers on June 30 that he would play his 24th NBA season elsewhere following eight years in Los Angeles. The league moratorium prevents official signings until July 6, creating a narrow window for negotiations that opened July 1 with at least a dozen teams reportedly expressing interest. Multiple suitors, combined with LeBron’s willingness to accept a veteran-minimum deal in some scenarios and his agent’s confirmation of active discussions, have left the exact timing of any agreement unresolved. This uncertainty keeps implied probabilities closely split between a potential quick resolution around July 3 and a more extended process extending to July 7 or later, as teams weigh roster fits and LeBron evaluates options amid standard free-agency procedures.

This market will resolve in favor of the listed date that LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team.

If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “July 7 or After”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
Volume
$1,342
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 2, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
This market will resolve in favor of the listed date that LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team. If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “July 7 or After”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "NBA: When Will LeBron Sign?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "July 3" sa 50%, sinusundan ng "July 7 or after" sa 50%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 50¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 50% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "NBA: When Will LeBron Sign?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jul 2, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "NBA: When Will LeBron Sign?," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "NBA: When Will LeBron Sign?" ay "July 3" sa 50%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 50% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "July 7 or after" sa 50%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "NBA: When Will LeBron Sign?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.