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Klima At Agham·Sakit

New pandemic before 2028?

icon for New pandemic before 2028?
Klima At Agham·Sakit

New pandemic before 2028?

Dec 31

Jan 1, 2028

Dec 31

Jan 1, 2028

16% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
16% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.**Trader consensus favoring an 84% implied probability of no new pandemic before 2028 stems primarily from sustained post-COVID surveillance showing no novel pathogen achieving efficient, global human-to-human transmission.** WHO and CDC monitoring through mid-2026 indicates moderate COVID-19 risk with stable severity, ongoing but limited avian influenza A(H5N1) cases lacking sustained spread, and regional outbreaks—including the Bundibugyo Ebola PHEIC in DRC/Uganda, mpox clade I, and hantavirus incidents—remaining geographically contained without exponential growth or reassortment. Enhanced genomic sequencing and early-warning systems have lowered escalation likelihood compared to historical baselines, though uncertainty around zoonotic spillovers, viral evolution in reservoirs, and surveillance gaps in low-resource areas persists. Upcoming agency updates on case trends and variant tracking will continue informing these odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Volume
$2,400
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2028
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.**Trader consensus favoring an 84% implied probability of no new pandemic before 2028 stems primarily from sustained post-COVID surveillance showing no novel pathogen achieving efficient, global human-to-human transmission.** WHO and CDC monitoring through mid-2026 indicates moderate COVID-19 risk with stable severity, ongoing but limited avian influenza A(H5N1) cases lacking sustained spread, and regional outbreaks—including the Bundibugyo Ebola PHEIC in DRC/Uganda, mpox clade I, and hantavirus incidents—remaining geographically contained without exponential growth or reassortment. Enhanced genomic sequencing and early-warning systems have lowered escalation likelihood compared to historical baselines, though uncertainty around zoonotic spillovers, viral evolution in reservoirs, and surveillance gaps in low-resource areas persists. Upcoming agency updates on case trends and variant tracking will continue informing these odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Volume
$2,400
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2028
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "New pandemic before 2028?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 16% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 16¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 16% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "New pandemic before 2028?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 13, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "New pandemic before 2028?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "New pandemic before 2028?" ay 16% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 16% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "New pandemic before 2028?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.