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icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Politika·Halalan Sa Pransiya

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Politika·Halalan Sa Pransiya

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

BAGO
Apr 30, 2027
Polymarket

$2,952 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$209 Vol.

12%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$226 Vol.

80%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$60 Vol.

5%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$1 Vol.

45%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$9 Vol.

5%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$164 Vol.

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$50 Vol.

4%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$126 Vol.

4%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$200 Vol.

8%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$21 Vol.

6%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$25 Vol.

20%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$314 Vol.

43%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$10 Vol.

6%

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Fabien Roussel

$50 Vol.

6%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$50 Vol.

6%

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Dominique de Villepin

$54 Vol.

7%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$74 Vol.

4%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$208 Vol.

4%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$73 Vol.

4%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$0 Vol.

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$57 Vol.

3%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$57 Vol.

3%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$12 Vol.

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$50 Vol.

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$85 Vol.

3%

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Jean Castex

$152 Vol.

26%

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Gérald Darmanin

$50 Vol.

7%

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Carole Delga

$71 Vol.

4%

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Bernard Cazeneuve

$56 Vol.

6%

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Manuel Bompard

$50 Vol.

5%

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Mathilde Panot

$50 Vol.

3%

icon for Other

Other

$92 Vol.

33%

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Sarah Knafo

$38 Vol.

5%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$121 Vol.

3%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$81 Vol.

4%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$6 Vol.

4%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).France's April 2027 presidential election features a crowded field of declared and potential candidates, with the first-round outcome determining runoff participants under the two-round system. Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads recent polling averages for the opening round, while Marine Le Pen remains sidelined pending a July 2026 appeal of her embezzlement conviction and associated ineligibility ruling. Center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe and left-wing contenders including Jean-Luc Mélenchon have announced or positioned bids, with some left-leaning groups pursuing unity primaries to consolidate support. The National Rally's consistent first-round strength in surveys shapes expectations for one far-right advance, though the fragmented opposition and any shifts following the appeal verdict could alter qualification dynamics.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$2,952
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 30, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).France's April 2027 presidential election features a crowded field of declared and potential candidates, with the first-round outcome determining runoff participants under the two-round system. Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads recent polling averages for the opening round, while Marine Le Pen remains sidelined pending a July 2026 appeal of her embezzlement conviction and associated ineligibility ruling. Center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe and left-wing contenders including Jean-Luc Mélenchon have announced or positioned bids, with some left-leaning groups pursuing unity primaries to consolidate support. The National Rally's consistent first-round strength in surveys shapes expectations for one far-right advance, though the fragmented opposition and any shifts following the appeal verdict could alter qualification dynamics.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$2,952
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 30, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 37 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Jordan Bardella" sa 80%, sinusundan ng "Édouard Philippe" sa 46%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 80¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 80% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jun 1, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?," i-browse ang 37 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" ay "Jordan Bardella" sa 80%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 80% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Édouard Philippe" sa 46%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.