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Politika·Mga Gantimpala

Nagwagi ng Gantimpalang Nobel Kapayapaan 2026

icon for Nagwagi ng Gantimpalang Nobel Kapayapaan 2026
Politika·Mga Gantimpala

Nagwagi ng Gantimpalang Nobel Kapayapaan 2026

Donald Trump 10%

Yulia Navalnaya 8%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 6.2%

UNRWA 5.1%

Polymarket

$17,658,628 Vol.

Donald Trump 10%

Yulia Navalnaya 8%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 6.2%

UNRWA 5.1%

Polymarket

$17,658,628 Vol.

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$3,371,916 Vol.

10%

icon for Yulia Navalnaya

Yulia Navalnaya

$157,270 Vol.

8%

icon for Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$499,714 Vol.

6%

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$1,945,851 Vol.

5%

icon for Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$611,010 Vol.

4%

icon for Pope Leo XIV

Pope Leo XIV

$698,872 Vol.

3%

icon for International Court of Justice

International Court of Justice

$760,387 Vol.

2%

icon for Narendra Modi

Narendra Modi

$544,546 Vol.

2%

icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$1,141,014 Vol.

1%

icon for Greta Thunberg

Greta Thunberg

$1,195,587 Vol.

1%

icon for Charlie Kirk

Charlie Kirk

$906,665 Vol.

1%

icon for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$710,029 Vol.

1%

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$950,398 Vol.

1%

icon for António Guterres

António Guterres

$419,931 Vol.

1%

icon for Khaled Mashal

Khaled Mashal

$453,051 Vol.

1%

icon for Mohammed bin Salman

Mohammed bin Salman

$816,648 Vol.

1%

icon for Julian Assange

Julian Assange

$501,978 Vol.

1%

icon for Vladimir Putin

Vladimir Putin

$744,928 Vol.

1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$732,274 Vol.

<1%

icon for Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

$496,569 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.The crowded field of 287 nominees for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, disclosed in late April, has kept trader sentiment fragmented, with Donald Trump at 9.5% implied probability reflecting speculation around his high-profile diplomatic overtures. Yulia Navalnaya at 7.5% and Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 6.2% draw support from human-rights advocacy and Ukraine conflict narratives, while UNRWA at 5.1% and other organizations underscore humanitarian priorities. This unusually open race, with no dominant frontrunner, mirrors the Norwegian Nobel Committee’s history of surprising selections driven by shifting global priorities rather than clear campaign momentum. The October 9 announcement remains months away, leaving room for late diplomatic breakthroughs or advocacy milestones to reshape the field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$17,658,628
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 10, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.The crowded field of 287 nominees for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, disclosed in late April, has kept trader sentiment fragmented, with Donald Trump at 9.5% implied probability reflecting speculation around his high-profile diplomatic overtures. Yulia Navalnaya at 7.5% and Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 6.2% draw support from human-rights advocacy and Ukraine conflict narratives, while UNRWA at 5.1% and other organizations underscore humanitarian priorities. This unusually open race, with no dominant frontrunner, mirrors the Norwegian Nobel Committee’s history of surprising selections driven by shifting global priorities rather than clear campaign momentum. The October 9 announcement remains months away, leaving room for late diplomatic breakthroughs or advocacy milestones to reshape the field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$17,658,628
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 10, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Nagwagi ng Gantimpalang Nobel Kapayapaan 2026" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 20 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Donald Trump" sa 10%, sinusundan ng "Yulia Navalnaya" sa 8%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 10¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 10% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Nagwagi ng Gantimpalang Nobel Kapayapaan 2026" ay naka-generate ng $17.7 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Oct 16, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Nagwagi ng Gantimpalang Nobel Kapayapaan 2026," i-browse ang 20 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Nagwagi ng Gantimpalang Nobel Kapayapaan 2026" ay "Donald Trump" sa 10%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 10% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Yulia Navalnaya" sa 8%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Nagwagi ng Gantimpalang Nobel Kapayapaan 2026" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.