Steady mid-May travel patterns have solidified the 17.5-18 million range as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus for TSA passenger totals May 11-17, driven by consistent weekday screenings near 2.5 million and typical weekend dips. Ongoing air travel recovery, a balanced mix of business and leisure trips, and early summer schedules continue building momentum ahead of the Memorial Day surge, while modestly higher jet fuel costs have tempered demand without sparking any major pullback. Recent checkpoint data shows no weather disruptions or capacity issues, keeping the leading outcome firmly positioned as traders watch for final-week corporate spikes that could nudge totals higher.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNumber of TSA passengers May 11 - May 17?
17.5-18m 95%
16.5-17m 48%
18-18.5m 48%
<16.5m 28.6%
$1,066 Vol.
$1,066 Vol.
<16.5m
29%
16.5-17m
48%
17-17.5m
48%
17.5-18m
73%
18-18.5m
48%
>18.5m
25%
17.5-18m 95%
16.5-17m 48%
18-18.5m 48%
<16.5m 28.6%
$1,066 Vol.
$1,066 Vol.
<16.5m
29%
16.5-17m
48%
17-17.5m
48%
17.5-18m
73%
18-18.5m
48%
>18.5m
25%
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Binuksan ang Market: May 9, 2026, 12:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Steady mid-May travel patterns have solidified the 17.5-18 million range as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus for TSA passenger totals May 11-17, driven by consistent weekday screenings near 2.5 million and typical weekend dips. Ongoing air travel recovery, a balanced mix of business and leisure trips, and early summer schedules continue building momentum ahead of the Memorial Day surge, while modestly higher jet fuel costs have tempered demand without sparking any major pullback. Recent checkpoint data shows no weather disruptions or capacity issues, keeping the leading outcome firmly positioned as traders watch for final-week corporate spikes that could nudge totals higher.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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