Early trader consensus on the 2027 Best Actor race reflects a wide-open field, with John Malkovich at 32.5% implied probability leading a tight pack that includes Matt Damon at 26.5% and Andrew Scott at 17.5%. This positioning stems from prestige director attachments and early festival momentum for Malkovich in Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine and Scott in Pressure, alongside Damon’s star vehicle in Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey. Tom Cruise at 13.5% draws support from overdue-narrative appeal in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Digger, while lower-priced names like Robert Pattinson and Sebastian Stan await fall reviews and guild signals. The spread across dozens of outcomes at or near 50% underscores the absence of decisive precursors this far from nominations. Key catalysts ahead include Telluride and Venice reactions plus early 2027 awards season voting patterns.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateOscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
John Malkovich 32.4%
Matt Damon 27%
Andrew Scott 18%
Tom Cruise 14%
$117,480 Vol.
$117,480 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
John Malkovich
32%
Matt Damon
27%
Andrew Scott
18%
Tom Cruise
14%
Robert Pattinson
9%
Jeremy Strong
3%
Sebastian Stan
2%
Ryan Gosling
2%
Timothée Chalamet
1%
Jaafar Jackson
1%
Sam Rockwell
1%
Pedro Pascal
<1%
Javier Bardem
<1%
Adam Driver
<1%
Brad Pitt
<1%
Robert Aramayo
<1%
John Turturro
<1%
Josh O'Connor
<1%
John Malkovich 32.4%
Matt Damon 27%
Andrew Scott 18%
Tom Cruise 14%
$117,480 Vol.
$117,480 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
John Malkovich
$8,856 Vol.
32%
Matt Damon
$34,097 Vol.
27%
Andrew Scott
$12,225 Vol.
18%
Tom Cruise
$11,178 Vol.
14%
Robert Pattinson
$4,364 Vol.
9%
Jeremy Strong
$4,039 Vol.
3%
Sebastian Stan
$2,765 Vol.
2%
Ryan Gosling
$4,778 Vol.
2%
Timothée Chalamet
$3,693 Vol.
1%
Jaafar Jackson
$4,211 Vol.
1%
Sam Rockwell
$4,572 Vol.
1%
Pedro Pascal
$3,076 Vol.
<1%
Javier Bardem
$2,900 Vol.
<1%
Adam Driver
$2,373 Vol.
<1%
Brad Pitt
$8,112 Vol.
<1%
Robert Aramayo
$3,115 Vol.
<1%
John Turturro
$1,587 Vol.
<1%
Josh O'Connor
$1,537 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early trader consensus on the 2027 Best Actor race reflects a wide-open field, with John Malkovich at 32.5% implied probability leading a tight pack that includes Matt Damon at 26.5% and Andrew Scott at 17.5%. This positioning stems from prestige director attachments and early festival momentum for Malkovich in Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine and Scott in Pressure, alongside Damon’s star vehicle in Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey. Tom Cruise at 13.5% draws support from overdue-narrative appeal in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Digger, while lower-priced names like Robert Pattinson and Sebastian Stan await fall reviews and guild signals. The spread across dozens of outcomes at or near 50% underscores the absence of decisive precursors this far from nominations. Key catalysts ahead include Telluride and Venice reactions plus early 2027 awards season voting patterns.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
Volume
$117,480Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 14, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early trader consensus on the 2027 Best Actor race reflects a wide-open field, with John Malkovich at 32.5% implied probability leading a tight pack that includes Matt Damon at 26.5% and Andrew Scott at 17.5%. This positioning stems from prestige director attachments and early festival momentum for Malkovich in Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine and Scott in Pressure, alongside Damon’s star vehicle in Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey. Tom Cruise at 13.5% draws support from overdue-narrative appeal in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Digger, while lower-priced names like Robert Pattinson and Sebastian Stan await fall reviews and guild signals. The spread across dozens of outcomes at or near 50% underscores the absence of decisive precursors this far from nominations. Key catalysts ahead include Telluride and Venice reactions plus early 2027 awards season voting patterns.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$117,480Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 14, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Early trader consensus on the 2027 Best Actor race reflects a wide-open field, with John Malkovich at 32.5% implied probability leading a tight pack that includes Matt Damon at 26.5% and Andrew Scott at 17.5%. This positioning stems from prestige director attachments and early festival momentum for Malkovich in Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine and Scott in Pressure, alongside Damon’s star vehicle in Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey. Tom Cruise at 13.5% draws support from overdue-narrative appeal in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Digger, while lower-priced names like Robert Pattinson and Sebastian Stan await fall reviews and guild signals. The spread across dozens of outcomes at or near 50% underscores the absence of decisive precursors this far from nominations. Key catalysts ahead include Telluride and Venice reactions plus early 2027 awards season voting patterns.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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