The tightly bunched leaderboard after three rounds at Aronimink has shaped trader sentiment, with Alex Smalley holding a one- or two-shot advantage yet trailing Jon Rahm in implied probability. Rahm’s major-championship pedigree and steady ball-striking under pressure have kept him atop the market despite Smalley’s recent hot form and first PGA Tour win opportunity. Ludvig Åberg’s elite tee-to-green numbers and Rory McIlroy’s strong scoring pace in the third round have also supported their respective shares, while several other contenders sit within four shots, creating realistic paths for multiple outcomes on a demanding final-round layout where birdie opportunities and late surges remain possible.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateJon Rahm 23.4%
Ludvig Aberg 21.4%
Rory McIlroy 17.4%
Alex Smalley 15.8%
$7,179,041 Vol.
$7,179,041 Vol.
Jon Rahm
23%
Ludvig Aberg
21%
Rory McIlroy
17%
Alex Smalley
16%
Nick Taylor
8%
Cameron Smith
6%
Matti Schmid
5%
Xander Schauffele
3%
Aaron Rai
3%
Joaquin Niemann
2%
Justin Thomas
2%
Justin Rose
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Scottie Scheffler
1%
Harris English
1%
Patrick Reed
1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Jon Rahm 23.4%
Ludvig Aberg 21.4%
Rory McIlroy 17.4%
Alex Smalley 15.8%
$7,179,041 Vol.
$7,179,041 Vol.
Jon Rahm
23%
Ludvig Aberg
21%
Rory McIlroy
17%
Alex Smalley
16%
Nick Taylor
8%
Cameron Smith
6%
Matti Schmid
5%
Xander Schauffele
3%
Aaron Rai
3%
Joaquin Niemann
2%
Justin Thomas
2%
Justin Rose
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Scottie Scheffler
1%
Harris English
1%
Patrick Reed
1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightly bunched leaderboard after three rounds at Aronimink has shaped trader sentiment, with Alex Smalley holding a one- or two-shot advantage yet trailing Jon Rahm in implied probability. Rahm’s major-championship pedigree and steady ball-striking under pressure have kept him atop the market despite Smalley’s recent hot form and first PGA Tour win opportunity. Ludvig Åberg’s elite tee-to-green numbers and Rory McIlroy’s strong scoring pace in the third round have also supported their respective shares, while several other contenders sit within four shots, creating realistic paths for multiple outcomes on a demanding final-round layout where birdie opportunities and late surges remain possible.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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