The closely bunched implied probabilities for Aaron Rai at 34.3% and Jon Rahm at 30.3% capture the intense parity among frontrunners in the final round of the PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Both golfers have demonstrated strong recent form and major resilience, with Rahm’s experience in high-stakes situations balancing Rai’s consistent ball-striking and momentum. A crowded chase group including Matti Schmid and Alex Smalley, who holds a narrow lead after three sub-70 rounds, adds further uncertainty as late surges, wind conditions, and precise approach play can quickly shift standings. This dynamic underscores how golf majors reward current positioning and mental steadiness over pre-tournament rankings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAaron Rai 54.8%
Jon Rahm 22.9%
Matti Schmid 7.6%
Rory McIlroy 4.5%
$7,997,787 Vol.
$7,997,787 Vol.
Aaron Rai
55%
Jon Rahm
23%
Matti Schmid
8%
Rory McIlroy
4%
Ludvig Aberg
4%
Alex Smalley
4%
Nick Taylor
3%
Justin Thomas
2%
Xander Schauffele
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Justin Rose
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Aaron Rai 54.8%
Jon Rahm 22.9%
Matti Schmid 7.6%
Rory McIlroy 4.5%
$7,997,787 Vol.
$7,997,787 Vol.
Aaron Rai
55%
Jon Rahm
23%
Matti Schmid
8%
Rory McIlroy
4%
Ludvig Aberg
4%
Alex Smalley
4%
Nick Taylor
3%
Justin Thomas
2%
Xander Schauffele
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Justin Rose
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely bunched implied probabilities for Aaron Rai at 34.3% and Jon Rahm at 30.3% capture the intense parity among frontrunners in the final round of the PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Both golfers have demonstrated strong recent form and major resilience, with Rahm’s experience in high-stakes situations balancing Rai’s consistent ball-striking and momentum. A crowded chase group including Matti Schmid and Alex Smalley, who holds a narrow lead after three sub-70 rounds, adds further uncertainty as late surges, wind conditions, and precise approach play can quickly shift standings. This dynamic underscores how golf majors reward current positioning and mental steadiness over pre-tournament rankings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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