The 2026 PGA Championship winner market shows a tightly bunched field with Matti Schmid holding a modest 21.5% implied probability lead ahead of Jon Rahm at 16.2%, Nick Taylor at 14.6%, Rory McIlroy at 13.1%, and Cameron Smith at 12.4%. This competitive spread reflects the PGA Tour’s deep talent pool, where recent tournament form, major championship pedigree, and course-specific ball-striking or putting advantages can rapidly alter positioning. Historical patterns in PGA events demonstrate that outcomes frequently turn on peak performance during the week rather than pre-tournament rankings, leaving ample room for multiple contenders to contend through strong starts or favorable weekend conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateJon Rahm 21.4%
Matti Schmid 17.9%
Nick Taylor 14.4%
Rory McIlroy 10.7%
$7,495,717 Vol.
$7,495,717 Vol.
Jon Rahm
21%
Matti Schmid
18%
Nick Taylor
14%
Rory McIlroy
11%
Cameron Smith
9%
Aaron Rai
8%
Xander Schauffele
6%
Alex Smalley
5%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Justin Thomas
4%
Justin Rose
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Patrick Reed
1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Jon Rahm 21.4%
Matti Schmid 17.9%
Nick Taylor 14.4%
Rory McIlroy 10.7%
$7,495,717 Vol.
$7,495,717 Vol.
Jon Rahm
21%
Matti Schmid
18%
Nick Taylor
14%
Rory McIlroy
11%
Cameron Smith
9%
Aaron Rai
8%
Xander Schauffele
6%
Alex Smalley
5%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Justin Thomas
4%
Justin Rose
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Patrick Reed
1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 PGA Championship winner market shows a tightly bunched field with Matti Schmid holding a modest 21.5% implied probability lead ahead of Jon Rahm at 16.2%, Nick Taylor at 14.6%, Rory McIlroy at 13.1%, and Cameron Smith at 12.4%. This competitive spread reflects the PGA Tour’s deep talent pool, where recent tournament form, major championship pedigree, and course-specific ball-striking or putting advantages can rapidly alter positioning. Historical patterns in PGA events demonstrate that outcomes frequently turn on peak performance during the week rather than pre-tournament rankings, leaving ample room for multiple contenders to contend through strong starts or favorable weekend conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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