Aaron Rai commands overwhelming market consensus for the 2026 PGA Championship, with implied probabilities reflecting his commanding position on the leaderboard and superior recent form across PGA Tour events. Traders appear to view his ball-striking consistency, course management, and momentum as decisive advantages heading into the final rounds of this major. While historical comebacks remain possible in golf majors, the field faces steep barriers against overcoming such a deficit. Late surges from players like Rory McIlroy or Jon Rahm, combined with variable course conditions or fatigue factors on the back nine, represent the primary scenarios that could still alter the outcome before the tournament concludes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAaron Rai 100.0%
Rory McIlroy <1%
Jon Rahm <1%
Xander Schauffele <1%
$8,946,793 Vol.
$8,946,793 Vol.
May 18, 2026
Aaron Rai
100%
Rory McIlroy
<1%
Jon Rahm
<1%
Xander Schauffele
<1%
Ludvig Aberg
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Alex Smalley
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Justin Rose
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Matti Schmid
<1%
Aaron Rai 100.0%
Rory McIlroy <1%
Jon Rahm <1%
Xander Schauffele <1%
$8,946,793 Vol.
$8,946,793 Vol.
May 18, 2026
Aaron Rai
$387,340 Vol.
100%
Rory McIlroy
$847,880 Vol.
<1%
Jon Rahm
$787,568 Vol.
<1%
Xander Schauffele
$509,618 Vol.
<1%
Ludvig Aberg
$311,812 Vol.
<1%
Justin Thomas
$186,652 Vol.
<1%
Maverick McNealy
$88,289 Vol.
<1%
Alex Smalley
$414,934 Vol.
<1%
Cameron Smith
$148,573 Vol.
<1%
Min Woo Lee
$165,822 Vol.
<1%
Justin Rose
$178,295 Vol.
<1%
Patrick Reed
$179,933 Vol.
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
$133,731 Vol.
<1%
Ben Griffin
$54,202 Vol.
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
$81,040 Vol.
<1%
David Puig
$58,385 Vol.
<1%
Nick Taylor
$241,649 Vol.
<1%
Bud Cauley
$43,600 Vol.
<1%
Matti Schmid
$291,492 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Rai commands overwhelming market consensus for the 2026 PGA Championship, with implied probabilities reflecting his commanding position on the leaderboard and superior recent form across PGA Tour events. Traders appear to view his ball-striking consistency, course management, and momentum as decisive advantages heading into the final rounds of this major. While historical comebacks remain possible in golf majors, the field faces steep barriers against overcoming such a deficit. Late surges from players like Rory McIlroy or Jon Rahm, combined with variable course conditions or fatigue factors on the back nine, represent the primary scenarios that could still alter the outcome before the tournament concludes.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Volume
$8,946,793Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Rai commands overwhelming market consensus for the 2026 PGA Championship, with implied probabilities reflecting his commanding position on the leaderboard and superior recent form across PGA Tour events. Traders appear to view his ball-striking consistency, course management, and momentum as decisive advantages heading into the final rounds of this major. While historical comebacks remain possible in golf majors, the field faces steep barriers against overcoming such a deficit. Late surges from players like Rory McIlroy or Jon Rahm, combined with variable course conditions or fatigue factors on the back nine, represent the primary scenarios that could still alter the outcome before the tournament concludes.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,946,793Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Aaron Rai commands overwhelming market consensus for the 2026 PGA Championship, with implied probabilities reflecting his commanding position on the leaderboard and superior recent form across PGA Tour events. Traders appear to view his ball-striking consistency, course management, and momentum as decisive advantages heading into the final rounds of this major. While historical comebacks remain possible in golf majors, the field faces steep barriers against overcoming such a deficit. Late surges from players like Rory McIlroy or Jon Rahm, combined with variable course conditions or fatigue factors on the back nine, represent the primary scenarios that could still alter the outcome before the tournament concludes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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