**No at 96.8% reflects traders' assessment that formal charges remain absent months after the February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office.** Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor was questioned and released under investigation following U.S. Epstein document releases alleging he shared confidential trade envoy material with Jeffrey Epstein between 2001 and 2011. The October 8 High Court ruling quashed search warrants as unlawfully granted, though Thames Valley Police maintains the probe continues and seeks to retain seized material. The common-law offense carries a potential life sentence but requires proving willful misconduct by a public officer—an untested application to a former royal—and Crown Prosecution Service charging decisions have not materialized. Recent procedural setbacks and the absence of indictments underpin the strong consensus against a prison sentence. Potential shifts hinge on whether investigators secure admissible evidence sufficient for charges, followed by trial and conviction.