The two oldest justices, Samuel Alito and Clarence Thomas, have publicly signaled they will remain on the bench through at least the 2026-2027 term, with Alito confirming in an August 2026 interview that he is “here for another term” after hiring clerks and rejecting retirement speculation. The typical end-of-term retirement window in June and July 2026 passed without announcements or health-related developments prompting departures. The seven younger justices have issued no signals of stepping down, and no official statements or verifiable events have altered this outlook as of mid-September. Traders view these factors as supporting a strong consensus against a vacancy by year-end, consistent with the implied probability on the market.