Skip to main content

Para mag-trade sa US, pumunta sa polymarket.us

icon for VMA Video of the Year 2026

VMA Video of the Year 2026

icon for VMA Video of the Year 2026

VMA Video of the Year 2026

The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 66%

Confessions II – The Film (Madonna) 23%

Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande) 1%

I Just Might (Bruno Mars) 1%

Polymarket
BAGO

The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 66%

Confessions II – The Film (Madonna) 23%

Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande) 1%

I Just Might (Bruno Mars) 1%

Polymarket
BAGO

The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)

$135 Vol.

66%

Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)

$65 Vol.

23%

Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)

$30 Vol.

7%

I Just Might (Bruno Mars)

$18 Vol.

9%

Storm (Gener8ion featuring Yung Lean)

$2 Vol.

7%

Tears (Sabrina Carpenter)

$14 Vol.

7%

The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year. If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads the VMA Video of the Year market at 63% implied probability, reflecting her unmatched category history, the track’s chart-topping performance from *The Life of a Showgirl*, and the video’s high-production visuals that earned multiple technical nods. Traders appear to factor in Swift’s dedicated fanbase driving fan-voted outcomes ahead of the September 27 ceremony, where voting closes September 25. Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” sits at 23% as the most-nominated artist overall and show opener, buoyed by its ambitious long-form format but facing a narrower path against Swift’s momentum. Lower probabilities for Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Bruno Mars, and Gener8ion ft. Yung Lean entries align with comparatively lighter recent commercial or cultural tailwinds in this marquee race.

The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.

If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year. If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$264
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year. If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads the VMA Video of the Year market at 63% implied probability, reflecting her unmatched category history, the track’s chart-topping performance from *The Life of a Showgirl*, and the video’s high-production visuals that earned multiple technical nods. Traders appear to factor in Swift’s dedicated fanbase driving fan-voted outcomes ahead of the September 27 ceremony, where voting closes September 25. Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” sits at 23% as the most-nominated artist overall and show opener, buoyed by its ambitious long-form format but facing a narrower path against Swift’s momentum. Lower probabilities for Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Bruno Mars, and Gener8ion ft. Yung Lean entries align with comparatively lighter recent commercial or cultural tailwinds in this marquee race.

The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.

If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year. If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$264
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Kaugnay

icon for Will “Swim” by BTS win Song of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

Will “Swim” by BTS win Song of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

61%
icon for Will “Safe” by Cardi B featuring Kehlani win Best Hip-Hop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

Will “Safe” by Cardi B featuring Kehlani win Best Hip-Hop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

85%
icon for Will “The Cure” by Olivia Rodrigo win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

Will “The Cure” by Olivia Rodrigo win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

52%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "VMA Video of the Year 2026" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)" sa 66%, sinusundan ng "Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)" sa 23%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 66¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 66% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "VMA Video of the Year 2026" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Sep 18, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "VMA Video of the Year 2026," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "VMA Video of the Year 2026" ay "The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)" sa 66%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 66% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)" sa 23%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "VMA Video of the Year 2026" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.