The ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo, now the country's largest and second-deadliest on record with over 7,000 cases and 3,400 deaths as of early September 2026, drives trader sentiment through rapid geographic spread across seven provinces amid conflict, displacement, and uneven contact tracing. Imported cases reached Uganda before its declaration of Ebola-free status, while modeling highlights elevated spillover risk to South Sudan via travel routes and weak infrastructure, with lower probabilities for neighbors like Rwanda or Burundi. Persistent transmission despite DRC claims of control, plus one noted case in France, underscores how insecurity and late detection fuel uncertainty around additional 2026 confirmations before year-end resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
$38,659 Vol.
South Sudan
67%
Rwanda
23%
Burundi
46%
United States
19%
Canada
23%
Kenya
23%
India
46%
Republic of the Congo
22%
Nigeria
48%
Ethiopia
52%
Somalia
36%
China
13%
$38,659 Vol.
South Sudan
67%
Rwanda
23%
Burundi
46%
United States
19%
Canada
23%
Kenya
23%
India
46%
Republic of the Congo
22%
Nigeria
48%
Ethiopia
52%
Somalia
36%
China
13%
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Binuksan ang Market: May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo, now the country's largest and second-deadliest on record with over 7,000 cases and 3,400 deaths as of early September 2026, drives trader sentiment through rapid geographic spread across seven provinces amid conflict, displacement, and uneven contact tracing. Imported cases reached Uganda before its declaration of Ebola-free status, while modeling highlights elevated spillover risk to South Sudan via travel routes and weak infrastructure, with lower probabilities for neighbors like Rwanda or Burundi. Persistent transmission despite DRC claims of control, plus one noted case in France, underscores how insecurity and late detection fuel uncertainty around additional 2026 confirmations before year-end resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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