Ongoing DOJ inquiries into former officials continue to shape trader assessments of arrest likelihoods before year-end. Recent developments include sustained scrutiny of intelligence community figures and public health leaders over prior roles in classified matters and pandemic policy, with limited new indictments filed in the past month. Political polarization and administration priorities on accountability have kept focus on select names, though procedural hurdles like venue challenges and evidentiary thresholds remain significant barriers. Upcoming court calendars and any sealed filings through late 2026 could alter trajectories, while historical patterns of delayed high-profile cases underscore the narrow remaining window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$374,599 Vol.
Anthony Fauci
11%
John Brennan
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
23%
Adam Schiff
3%
Barack Obama
1%
James Comey
6%
Mahmoud Khalil
29%
James Clapper
13%
Letitia James
14%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Bill Clinton
2%
Loretta Lynch
10%
Susan Rice
8%
Candace Owens
7%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
6%
John Kerry
3%
Pam Bondi
5%
Tom Homan
12%
Kash Patel
3%
Brandon Johnson
12%
Lisa Cook
11%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
2%
$374,599 Vol.
Anthony Fauci
$143,829 Vol.
11%
John Brennan
$18,171 Vol.
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$21,677 Vol.
23%
Adam Schiff
$16,402 Vol.
3%
Barack Obama
$28,805 Vol.
1%
James Comey
$9,602 Vol.
6%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,308 Vol.
29%
James Clapper
$6,726 Vol.
13%
Letitia James
$2,848 Vol.
14%
Hillary Clinton
$25,009 Vol.
3%
Bill Clinton
$2,494 Vol.
2%
Loretta Lynch
$2,376 Vol.
10%
Susan Rice
$304 Vol.
8%
Candace Owens
$263 Vol.
7%
Gavin Newsom
$37,596 Vol.
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,789 Vol.
6%
John Kerry
$346 Vol.
3%
Pam Bondi
$1,998 Vol.
5%
Tom Homan
$39,684 Vol.
12%
Kash Patel
$530 Vol.
3%
Brandon Johnson
$3,191 Vol.
12%
Lisa Cook
$3,319 Vol.
11%
Lee Jun-seok
$794 Vol.
11%
Joe Biden
$5,538 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing DOJ inquiries into former officials continue to shape trader assessments of arrest likelihoods before year-end. Recent developments include sustained scrutiny of intelligence community figures and public health leaders over prior roles in classified matters and pandemic policy, with limited new indictments filed in the past month. Political polarization and administration priorities on accountability have kept focus on select names, though procedural hurdles like venue challenges and evidentiary thresholds remain significant barriers. Upcoming court calendars and any sealed filings through late 2026 could alter trajectories, while historical patterns of delayed high-profile cases underscore the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Volume
$374,599Binuksan ang Market
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing DOJ inquiries into former officials continue to shape trader assessments of arrest likelihoods before year-end. Recent developments include sustained scrutiny of intelligence community figures and public health leaders over prior roles in classified matters and pandemic policy, with limited new indictments filed in the past month. Political polarization and administration priorities on accountability have kept focus on select names, though procedural hurdles like venue challenges and evidentiary thresholds remain significant barriers. Upcoming court calendars and any sealed filings through late 2026 could alter trajectories, while historical patterns of delayed high-profile cases underscore the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$374,599Binuksan ang Market
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing DOJ inquiries into former officials continue to shape trader assessments of arrest likelihoods before year-end. Recent developments include sustained scrutiny of intelligence community figures and public health leaders over prior roles in classified matters and pandemic policy, with limited new indictments filed in the past month. Political polarization and administration priorities on accountability have kept focus on select names, though procedural hurdles like venue challenges and evidentiary thresholds remain significant barriers. Upcoming court calendars and any sealed filings through late 2026 could alter trajectories, while historical patterns of delayed high-profile cases underscore the narrow remaining window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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