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Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

icon for Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Rafael Grossi 50%

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés 23.4%

Rebeca Grynspan 16.8%

Michelle Bachelet 12.0%

Polymarket

$60,794 Vol.

Rafael Grossi 50%

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés 23.4%

Rebeca Grynspan 16.8%

Michelle Bachelet 12.0%

Polymarket

$60,794 Vol.

Rafael Grossi

$20,406 Vol.

40%

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés

$1,901 Vol.

23%

Rebeca Grynspan

$3,111 Vol.

17%

Michelle Bachelet

$19,938 Vol.

12%

Jacinda Ardern

$1,196 Vol.

3%

Bruno Donat

$1,580 Vol.

1%

David Choquehuanca

$1,708 Vol.

<1%

Vuk Jeremić

$1,679 Vol.

<1%

Mia Mottley

$1,180 Vol.

<1%

Colombe Cahen-Salvador

$1,814 Vol.

<1%

Alicia Bárcena

$1,029 Vol.

<1%

Kristalina Georgieva

$1,071 Vol.

<1%

Amina Mohammed

$3,003 Vol.

<1%

Achim Steiner

$1,179 Vol.

<1%

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The selection process for the successor to António Guterres, whose term concludes on 31 December 2026, formally opened in November 2025 and features several officially nominated candidates who have completed interactive dialogues with member states. Rafael Grossi leads trader assessments owing to his six years as IAEA Director General, where he managed high-stakes nuclear diplomacy including repeated missions to Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia plant and direct engagement across conflict lines. María Fernanda Espinosa Garcés, nominated by Antigua and Barbuda on 11 May 2026, has risen sharply following that recent entry and her prior General Assembly presidency. Rebeca Grynspan and Michelle Bachelet draw support from their extensive multilateral records and Latin American backing, while the Security Council’s eventual recommendation and General Assembly vote remain the decisive steps that could shift outcomes before the 2027 transition.

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$60,794
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Feb 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The selection process for the successor to António Guterres, whose term concludes on 31 December 2026, formally opened in November 2025 and features several officially nominated candidates who have completed interactive dialogues with member states. Rafael Grossi leads trader assessments owing to his six years as IAEA Director General, where he managed high-stakes nuclear diplomacy including repeated missions to Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia plant and direct engagement across conflict lines. María Fernanda Espinosa Garcés, nominated by Antigua and Barbuda on 11 May 2026, has risen sharply following that recent entry and her prior General Assembly presidency. Rebeca Grynspan and Michelle Bachelet draw support from their extensive multilateral records and Latin American backing, while the Security Council’s eventual recommendation and General Assembly vote remain the decisive steps that could shift outcomes before the 2027 transition.

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$60,794
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Feb 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 14 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Rafael Grossi" sa 40%, sinusundan ng "Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés" sa 23%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 40¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 40% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?" ay naka-generate ng $60.8K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 12, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?," i-browse ang 14 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?" ay "Rafael Grossi" sa 40%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 40% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés" sa 23%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.