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icon for Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?
Politika·Hukbo

Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?

icon for Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?
Politika·Hukbo

Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?

Adam Telle 39%

W. Jordan Gillis 35%

Sean Parnell 30%

Brian Mast 13%

Polymarket
BAGO

Adam Telle 39%

W. Jordan Gillis 35%

Sean Parnell 30%

Brian Mast 13%

Polymarket
BAGO

Adam Telle

$26 Vol.

39%

W. Jordan Gillis

$26 Vol.

35%

Sean Parnell

$46 Vol.

36%

Brian Mast

$26 Vol.

13%

Charles Young III

$26 Vol.

13%

Marc Andersen

$26 Vol.

13%

Brent Ingraham

$116 Vol.

11%

Michael Obadal

$26 Vol.

32%

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments have kept the field for Trump's permanent Army secretary wide open, with no nominee yet named following Dan Driscoll's early September resignation amid reported tensions with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. Trump elevated Adam Telle to acting secretary from his Senate-confirmed role as assistant secretary for civil works, bypassing undersecretary Michael Obadal in a move that highlighted internal Pentagon dynamics. Allies of Hegseth are reportedly backing spokesperson Sean Parnell, while other names such as Marc Andersen and Derrick Anderson remain in play. The Senate confirmation process, historical patterns for cabinet roles, and potential for late shifts in White House preferences continue to shape trader consensus around the crowded list of contenders.

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.

If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$318
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 19, 2029
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments have kept the field for Trump's permanent Army secretary wide open, with no nominee yet named following Dan Driscoll's early September resignation amid reported tensions with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. Trump elevated Adam Telle to acting secretary from his Senate-confirmed role as assistant secretary for civil works, bypassing undersecretary Michael Obadal in a move that highlighted internal Pentagon dynamics. Allies of Hegseth are reportedly backing spokesperson Sean Parnell, while other names such as Marc Andersen and Derrick Anderson remain in play. The Senate confirmation process, historical patterns for cabinet roles, and potential for late shifts in White House preferences continue to shape trader consensus around the crowded list of contenders.

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.

If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$318
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 19, 2029
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 8 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Adam Telle" sa 39%, sinusundan ng "Sean Parnell" sa 36%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 39¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 39% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Sep 15, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?," i-browse ang 8 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?" ay "Adam Telle" sa 39%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 39% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Sean Parnell" sa 36%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.