Global temperatures driven by long-term greenhouse gas accumulation continue to set new monthly records, underpinning the 86.5% implied probability that at least one month in 2026 will rank as the hottest on record. Recent observational data from NOAA and NASA confirm that 2023–2025 already produced multiple record highs, and early 2026 readings remain elevated even as ENSO has shifted toward neutral conditions. Climate models show this anthropogenic warming trend raises the baseline for extreme heat, making fresh records more likely than not absent an unusually strong La Niña. Traders are closely monitoring upcoming seasonal outlooks and June–August temperature anomalies, which historically determine whether annual peaks are broken.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
$136,756 Vol.
$136,756 Vol.
Jan 10, 2027
$136,756 Vol.
$136,756 Vol.
Jan 10, 2027
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record. If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
This market may resolve immediately upon the release of data for any month which qualifies towards a "Yes" resolution.
If no information for all months is provided by NASA by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Global temperatures driven by long-term greenhouse gas accumulation continue to set new monthly records, underpinning the 86.5% implied probability that at least one month in 2026 will rank as the hottest on record. Recent observational data from NOAA and NASA confirm that 2023–2025 already produced multiple record highs, and early 2026 readings remain elevated even as ENSO has shifted toward neutral conditions. Climate models show this anthropogenic warming trend raises the baseline for extreme heat, making fresh records more likely than not absent an unusually strong La Niña. Traders are closely monitoring upcoming seasonal outlooks and June–August temperature anomalies, which historically determine whether annual peaks are broken.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record. If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
This market may resolve immediately upon the release of data for any month which qualifies towards a "Yes" resolution.
If no information for all months is provided by NASA by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
This market may resolve immediately upon the release of data for any month which qualifies towards a "Yes" resolution.
If no information for all months is provided by NASA by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Volume
$136,756Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 10, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Feb 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record. If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
This market may resolve immediately upon the release of data for any month which qualifies towards a "Yes" resolution.
If no information for all months is provided by NASA by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Global temperatures driven by long-term greenhouse gas accumulation continue to set new monthly records, underpinning the 86.5% implied probability that at least one month in 2026 will rank as the hottest on record. Recent observational data from NOAA and NASA confirm that 2023–2025 already produced multiple record highs, and early 2026 readings remain elevated even as ENSO has shifted toward neutral conditions. Climate models show this anthropogenic warming trend raises the baseline for extreme heat, making fresh records more likely than not absent an unusually strong La Niña. Traders are closely monitoring upcoming seasonal outlooks and June–August temperature anomalies, which historically determine whether annual peaks are broken.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record. If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
This market may resolve immediately upon the release of data for any month which qualifies towards a "Yes" resolution.
If no information for all months is provided by NASA by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
This market may resolve immediately upon the release of data for any month which qualifies towards a "Yes" resolution.
If no information for all months is provided by NASA by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Volume
$136,756Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 10, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Feb 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Global temperatures driven by long-term greenhouse gas accumulation continue to set new monthly records, underpinning the 86.5% implied probability that at least one month in 2026 will rank as the hottest on record. Recent observational data from NOAA and NASA confirm that 2023–2025 already produced multiple record highs, and early 2026 readings remain elevated even as ENSO has shifted toward neutral conditions. Climate models show this anthropogenic warming trend raises the baseline for extreme heat, making fresh records more likely than not absent an unusually strong La Niña. Traders are closely monitoring upcoming seasonal outlooks and June–August temperature anomalies, which historically determine whether annual peaks are broken.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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