Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov stated on August 20 that arranging any meeting between President Vladimir Putin and Ye falls outside official responsibilities and is not under consideration, directly aligning with traders' 97.5% probability that no encounter will occur by October 31. Ye's planned October 10-11 concerts in St. Petersburg faced immediate venue withdrawal on August 25 after Gazprom Arena confirmed no signed rental agreement, amid ongoing domestic complaints and calls for the rapper to demonstrate support for Russian positions. Ye's history of polarizing statements has drawn scrutiny from Russian lawmakers and limited Western artist access since 2022, reinforcing the view that high-level diplomatic scheduling remains improbable. A last-minute private encounter could still shift resolution if concerts occur or alternative arrangements emerge, though the official stance and timeline constraints make this unlikely.