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Politika·Korte Suprema

Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?

icon for Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?
Politika·Korte Suprema

Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?

53% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
53% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
The Supreme Court has heard arguments on the constitutionality of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3), the federal statute that prohibits the possession of firearms by a person who “is an unlawful user of or addicted to any controlled substance." This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that, in at least some cases, this law violates the Constitution of the United States by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the law is unconstitutional in some cases. Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the relevant law may lawfully be enforced will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. If a Supreme Court ruling clearly and finally upholds this law in all challenged applications, this market will resolve to 'No.' The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The Supreme Court has heard arguments on the constitutionality of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3), the federal statute that prohibits the possession of firearms by a person who “is an unlawful user of or addicted to any controlled substance."

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that, in at least some cases, this law violates the Constitution of the United States by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the law is unconstitutional in some cases.

Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the relevant law may lawfully be enforced will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.

If a Supreme Court ruling clearly and finally upholds this law in all challenged applications, this market will resolve to 'No.'

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 16, 2026, 9:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Supreme Court has heard arguments on the constitutionality of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3), the federal statute that prohibits the possession of firearms by a person who “is an unlawful user of or addicted to any controlled substance." This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that, in at least some cases, this law violates the Constitution of the United States by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the law is unconstitutional in some cases. Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the relevant law may lawfully be enforced will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. If a Supreme Court ruling clearly and finally upholds this law in all challenged applications, this market will resolve to 'No.' The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Supreme Court has heard arguments on the constitutionality of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3), the federal statute that prohibits the possession of firearms by a person who “is an unlawful user of or addicted to any controlled substance." This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that, in at least some cases, this law violates the Constitution of the United States by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the law is unconstitutional in some cases. Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the relevant law may lawfully be enforced will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. If a Supreme Court ruling clearly and finally upholds this law in all challenged applications, this market will resolve to 'No.' The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The Supreme Court has heard arguments on the constitutionality of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3), the federal statute that prohibits the possession of firearms by a person who “is an unlawful user of or addicted to any controlled substance."

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that, in at least some cases, this law violates the Constitution of the United States by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the law is unconstitutional in some cases.

Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the relevant law may lawfully be enforced will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.

If a Supreme Court ruling clearly and finally upholds this law in all challenged applications, this market will resolve to 'No.'

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 16, 2026, 9:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Supreme Court has heard arguments on the constitutionality of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3), the federal statute that prohibits the possession of firearms by a person who “is an unlawful user of or addicted to any controlled substance." This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that, in at least some cases, this law violates the Constitution of the United States by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the law is unconstitutional in some cases. Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the relevant law may lawfully be enforced will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. If a Supreme Court ruling clearly and finally upholds this law in all challenged applications, this market will resolve to 'No.' The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 53% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 53¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 53% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jun 17, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?" ay 53% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 53% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.