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icon for World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

icon for World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

Lamine Yamal 14%

Kylian Mbappé 11%

Michael Olise 11%

Harry Kane 8%

Polymarket

$122,501 Vol.

Lamine Yamal 14%

Kylian Mbappé 11%

Michael Olise 11%

Harry Kane 8%

Polymarket

$122,501 Vol.

Lamine Yamal

$9,081 Vol.

14%

Kylian Mbappé

$20,025 Vol.

11%

Michael Olise

$9,118 Vol.

11%

Harry Kane

$9,696 Vol.

8%

Lionel Messi

$4,081 Vol.

7%

Pedri

$2,065 Vol.

6%

Vinícius Jr.

$4,934 Vol.

6%

Bruno Fernandes

$6,418 Vol.

5%

Ousmane Dembélé

$5,042 Vol.

4%

Vitinha

$6,611 Vol.

4%

Jude Bellingham

$1,748 Vol.

3%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$10,773 Vol.

3%

Florian Wirtz

$7,154 Vol.

2%

Erling Haaland

$6,384 Vol.

2%

Declan Rice

$1,607 Vol.

2%

Rodri

$3,887 Vol.

2%

Rayan Cherki

$3,602 Vol.

2%

Bukayo Saka

$2,028 Vol.

1%

Neymar

$6,167 Vol.

<1%

Gavi

$2,079 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup's opening matches have kept the Golden Ball race tightly bunched, with Lamine Yamal's 13.5% implied probability reflecting his standout La Liga form and Spain's depth but no decisive separation yet. Kylian Mbappé and Michael Olise sit close behind at 11% each, buoyed by France's attacking options and their proven big-stage impact, while Harry Kane, Lionel Messi, Pedri, and Vinícius Jr. remain within striking distance on recent club output and national-team roles. A wide field of contenders from strong squads, combined with the tournament's early phase and emphasis on knockout contributions over group-stage flashes, sustains this competitive dynamic until deeper runs clarify frontrunners.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$122,501
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 20, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup's opening matches have kept the Golden Ball race tightly bunched, with Lamine Yamal's 13.5% implied probability reflecting his standout La Liga form and Spain's depth but no decisive separation yet. Kylian Mbappé and Michael Olise sit close behind at 11% each, buoyed by France's attacking options and their proven big-stage impact, while Harry Kane, Lionel Messi, Pedri, and Vinícius Jr. remain within striking distance on recent club output and national-team roles. A wide field of contenders from strong squads, combined with the tournament's early phase and emphasis on knockout contributions over group-stage flashes, sustains this competitive dynamic until deeper runs clarify frontrunners.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$122,501
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 20, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 20 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Lamine Yamal" sa 14%, sinusundan ng "Kylian Mbappé" sa 11%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 14¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 14% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" ay naka-generate ng $122.5K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jun 3, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner," i-browse ang 20 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" ay "Lamine Yamal" sa 14%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 14% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Kylian Mbappé" sa 11%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.